Against Ranked Teams (football) | Syracusefan.com

Against Ranked Teams (football)

SWC75

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This year I will be again charting how teams have done “against ranked teams”, which is something that always comes up at the end of the year when the arguments over who should be in the 4 team national championship playoff takes place. As usual, this is not meant to end those arguments, just to give those making them something to look at in forming their opinions.

I’m going to do it using the procedure I started last year. The original procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)

Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference between this procedure and the original one if that I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to try to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.

WEEK FOURTEEN

Alabama beat #4 Georgia 35-28 = +29 points
Ohio State beat #21 Northwestern 45-24 = +26 points
Oklahoma beat #14 Texas 39-27 = +24 points
Georgia lost to #1 Alabama 28-35 = +18 points
Washington beat #17 Utah 10-3 = +16 points
Texas lost to #5 Oklahoma 27-39 = +9 points
Utah lost to #11 Washington 3-10 = +8 points
Fresno State beat #22 Boise State 19-16 = +7 points
Memphis lost to #8 Central Florida 41-56 = +3 points
Drake lost to #23 Iowa State 24-27 = 0 points
Northwestern lost to #6 Ohio State 24-45 = -1 point
Boise State lost to #25 Fresno State 16-19 = -2 points
Pittsburgh lost to #2 Clemson 10-42 = -8 points

TOP 25 against ranked teams after week #1

Alabama +141 points
Ohio State +140 points
Notre Dame +130 points
Georgia +126 points
Texas +118 points

Louisiana State +112 points
Michigan +99 points
Washington +99 points
Oklahoma State +95 points
Purdue +85 points

Clemson +73 points
Northwestern +65 points
Texas A&M +65 points
Mississippi State +63 points
Missouri +55 points

Texas Tech +55 points
Iowa State +51 points
Arizona State +50 points
Kentucky +48 points
Auburn +45 points

Oklahoma +44 points
Stanford +42 points
Oregon +41 points
Virginia Tech +41 points
Florida +39 points

Syracuse has +23 points.

Louisville’s -102 points is the worst
 

All4SU

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I love that analytic, but I just wonder how much inflated rankings for B1G and SEC teams factors into the equation.
 

SWC75

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I love that analytic, but I just wonder how much inflated rankings for B1G and SEC teams factors into the equation.

But are they inflated? Do we compare them to the ACC, Big 12 and Pac 12? How under-inflated are they?
 

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