Against Ranked Teams - Week 14 | Syracusefan.com

Against Ranked Teams - Week 14

SWC75

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This year I will be again charting how teams have done “against ranked teams”, which is something that always comes up at the end of the year when the arguments over who should be in the NCAA tournament start. As usual, this is not meant to end those arguments, just to give those making them something to look at in forming their opinions. This is just one thing to look at. But I think it’s a big thing.

I’m going to do it a bit differently this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)

Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference between this year and last year if that I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to try to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.

WEEK 14
Duke beat #3 Virginia 81=71 = +33 points
Clemson beat #11 Virginia Tech 59-51 = +23 points
Louisville beat #11 Virginia Tech 72-64 = +23 points
Illinois beat #9 Michigan State 79-74 = +22 points
Kansas State beat #13 Kansas 74-67 = +20 points
Texas Christian beat #17 Iowa State 92-83 = +18 points
Mississippi State lost to #5 Kentucky 67-71 = +17 points
St. John’s beat #10 Marquette 70-69 = +17 points
Michigan beat #19 Wisconsin 61-52 = +16 points
Florida State beat #16 Louisville 80-75 = +15 points
University of Miami lost to #8 North Carolina 85-88 = +15 points
Villanova lost to #10 Marquette 65-66 = +15 points
Virginia lost to #2 Duke 71-81 = +14 points
Florida lost to #1 Tennessee 61-73 = +13 points
Marquette beat #14 Villanova 66-65 = +13 points
Missouri lost to #1 Tennessee 60-72 = +13 points
Wisconsin lost to #7 Michigan 52-61 = +10 points
Oklahoma lost to #17 Iowa State 74-75 = +8 points
Cincinnati lost to #12 Houston 58-65 = +7 points
Houston beat #25 Cincinnati 65-58 = +6 points
Central Florida lost to #12 Houston 68-77 = +5 points
Creighton lost to #14 Villanova 59-66 = +5 points
Northwestern lost to #20 Iowa 79-80 = +5 points
Colorado State lost to #6 Nevada-Reno 82-98 = +4 points
Minnesota lost to #19 Wisconsin 51-56 = +2 points
Virginia Tech lost to #16 Louisville 64-72 = +2 points
Indiana lost to #20 Iowa 72-77 = +1 point
Mississippi State lost to #21 Louisiana State 88-92 = +1 point
North Carolina State lost to #8 North Carolina 96-113 = +1 point
Oklahoma State lost to #13 Kansas 72-84 = +1 point
Auburn lost to #21 Louisiana State 78-83 = 0 points
Louisville lost to #22 Florida State 75-80 = -1 point
Boston College lost to #2 Duke 55-80 = -2 points
Memphis lost to #25 Cincinnati 64-69 = -4 points
Oklahoma lost to #18 Texas Tech 54-66 = -4 points
Minnesota lost to #9 Michigan State 55-79 = -7 points
Rutgers lost to #7 Michigan 65-77 = -7 points
South Carolina lost to #5 Kentucky 48-76 = -7 points
Nebraska lost to #15 Purdue 62-81 = -8 points
San Francisco lost to #4 Gonzaga 62-92 = -8 points
New Mexico lost to #6 Nevada-Reno 62-91 = -9 points
Central Michigan lost to #23 Buffalo 76-90 = -11 points
Nebraska lost to #24 Maryland 45-60 = -13 points
Syracuse lost to #22 Florida State 62-80 = -14 points
West Virginia lost to #18 Texas Tech 50-81 = -23 points
St. Mary’s lost to #4 Gonzaga 46-94 = -26 points

Comments: The absence of Justin Robinson has turned Virginia Tech into a team ripe for the picking for points in this system. The ACC is the place to pick up points. The top three games and 6 of the top 13 on this list involved ACC games. Syracuse will have plenty of opportunities to pick up points the rest of the way, assuming we are at least competitive.


THE TOP 25

Duke +200 points
Michigan State +149 points
North Carolina +138 points
Michigan +135 points
Kansas +126 points

Virginia +125 points
Louisville +104 points
Marquette +101 points
Wisconsin +93 points
Iowa State +87 points

Iowa +85 points
Purdue +84 points
Kansas State +80 points
Texas +79 points
Kentucky +77 points

Florida State +65 points
Indiana +63 points
Alabama +62 points
Arizona State +59 points
Auburn +54 points

Baylor +52 points
Louisiana State +47 points
New Mexico +47 points
Tennessee +46 points
Gonzaga +44 points
U of Miami +44 points

Syracuse has +27 points

The worst total so far is Tennessee Tech with -104 points
 

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