We will gain a few #1 votes back, but not that many
1. If the main trigger in your mind is that we beat Duke... Arizona beat Duke as well on a neutral court. So the motivation for change has to be "cumulative" results, rather than a big win over Duke.
2. And the argument cannot be made from a cumulative basis.
If you want to look at top 25 wins.
Arizona would have 5,10,17 (none at home)
Syracuse would have 9,17,18 (all at home)
Advantage Arizona
In terms of wins vs other teams currently in tournament (or bubble):
Arizona would have Stanford, UCLA, Cal, Colorado (3 road)
Syracuse would have Minnesota, Cal, Baylor, UNC (3 neutral)
Draw (this is where Baylor sliding hurts)
3. Zona started higher and has not done anything to lose it. We have not done more, so how can we overtake them?
4. If we were blowing people away we may be overcome some of the factors above. But we have not been doing that.
We should be #2. Accept it. We have great chances at winning in April, and are basically equals to Zona on the floor.