Big Ten Discussing $2 Billion Private Capital Deal

[HRE Otto IV]

Does this mean that B1G expansion is over for the next 20 years? They are now dividing revenue 20 ways. Pretty much any school added would need to add $100M/y to break even for the existing schools. Notre Dame +1 would achieve that. Not many others would. I don't think UNC would alone. Unless conferences have expanded championships, then that would cover additions.

And how much will the new investor have veto power on expansion?

How the heck does the BTN fit into this? Does it become 40% owned by BTE? In which case the investor now has equity in the network? If not the investor will want the BTE to charge the BTN a good amount of money for content. The BTN currently gets content on the cheap. So indirectly the schools will need to pay more money for their own content via the BTN. They get the money back via BTE, but not all of it as the investor takes their cut.

Also if new schools are added the BTE shares would need to come from the school's and conference's equity. The investor will not reduce theirs. When you create a real company, it makes expansion so much more messy.

 

[rocklloyd]

I’m close to checking out. College sports is turning into everything I hate about pro sports.

 

[HRE Otto IV]

The B1G already started unbundling their FB contract. I would guess that the BTE would want to unbundle all sports. Which could be great for the entirety of college sports. If we see BTN for the FB gets X, BBall gets Y, Olympics Z then we know the market value of each.

So when the ACC GOR runs out, do we not push for an ACC FB Conference only and let the rest disperse? What is the point in an all sports conference spanning the entire country if the contracts are unbundled?

In which case we can create a non FB Northeastern conference. SU, BC, Pitt, West Virginia, UConn, Temple, Nova, St Johns, Georgetown, Providence. So pretty much the OG Big East BBall minus Seton Hall.

 

[HtownOrange]

$2BB, split 20 ways over 20 years. Or $100MM/per team with the conference and PE each getting a share, spread over 20 years is merely $5MM/year. Or a QB under a 1 year contract at some schools.

All we see is the cash flow in. PE does not work that way, they will want something in return. That $5MM per year share does not begin to pay back the $2BB initial cash outlay. PE will want collateral guarantees, too. The B1G are majority state schools and the legal issues with securing loans against property when the sovereign does not allow lawsuits to obtain the property in the event of a default is not collateral.

PE will want much bigger returns than average. High risk high reward. Where is the new revenue generated from? In reality, even if the B1G could root out competition, no one outside of B1G fandom will watch NFL lite, nor will schools take a small payoff to be abused on a Saturday, they will demand $5MM or $10MM for body bag games. And most fans will remain loyal to their teams, there will not be as many watching B1G football as they dream. The SEC has already confirmed a P2 concept is not sustainable, now a P1 concept of 18 teams is going to do what even the NFL can’t do.

We don’t need broadcasters anymore as games can be streamed easily. Especially when games can be streamed for lower costs. Think ESPN origins. It was just die hard fans having fun, a hobby turned into a business model.

Before anyone gets excited, I would want to see the real terms. Does anyone think any school can jump merchandise and commercial ads to $5 in profit, probably double or triple to support the new marketing costs so revenue generated will need to be $10MM - $15MM per team per year to reach a $5 MM mark. Nebraska fandom is saturated, how will they generate additional revenue? Explain Rutgers, Maryland, Northwestern, Indiana, Illinois, et al. In truth, the bottom feeders and some middle range teams will merely be riding UM, tOSU and a couple other names’ coattails. If tOSU, UM, PSU and a couple others can generate enough revenue to support their profits and others profits, why not do it anyway under the present system? They would benefit far more from managing the new revenue generation than by sharing.

There is a lot more to the story and it looks more like PE overstretching their true capabilities. People who don’t need money don’t borrow at loan shark rates.

 

[PAcuse]

Do they? People like having something to do that's relatively inexpensive and convenient. They don't really love them enough to be big money makers.

Alot of areas really do, we have a ton of minor league teams in the driveable area and lots of die hard fans.
See Hersey Bears for a prime example of a diehard fanbase for minor leagues.

 

[PAcuse]

I work in the IT world and we have a cilent that was bought up buy a PE last year, they just came to us and said they need to cut their budget with us by 65% for the 4th quarter and then layed off 150 people and closed a plant.

So when the PE loses money does Rutgers and Maryland close down?