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Message: [QUOTE="AZcuse77, post: 2098771, member: 6173"] It's great what you are doing here... but looking at the Bracket Matrix I think there is a big difference between the current "bubble" and bracket matrix entries VS. teams that are still in contention. I looked at a criteria/requirements of: Current Top 100 KenPom rating Ability to finish season in KenPom Top 75 from remaining schedule & tournament despite losing in title game Potential for 7+ conference wins in ACC/Big12/BigE/Big10, 8/9+ in others (no Pitt, Clemson, Tennessee, 10 loss Pac12 teams) Overall winning record There are 18 teams currently listed as OUT by Lunardi that meet this criteria that are still in contention for finishing with KenPom rankings below 75 (some as low as 20, most could end up best case in the 30-65 range if losing in title game). There are an additional 8 first place teams from mid-major conferences which meet this criteria which will get at-large consideration should they not get their automatic bid. I'm just not sure the current "bubble" per Bracket Matrix is expansive enough if considering who still has a chance to be selected. There are lots of teams that can finish 5-1 4-1 or 3-1 and get an at large bid but are not even listed on any matrix. Many of these are long shots with warts... but any bubble team including Cuse has warts. These 1st place teams would have names at least brought up for at-large if won out until title game: c-usa: mtsu 25-4 15-1 KenPom/RPI/Sagarin #48/31/41 (2-0 finish, bye first round, 2-1 tourn = 29-5, best possible non-autobid KenPom ~45) ivy: princeton 19-6 12-0 #61/53/78 (2-0 finish, 1-1 4-team tourn = 22-7, kenpom ~55) colonial: unc-wilmington 26-5 15-3 #59/38/60 (reg season done, bye first round, 2-1 tourn = 28-6, kenpom ~60) mt west: nevada 24-6 13-4 ~#65/43/62 (1-0 finish, bye first round, 2-1 tourn = 27-7, kenpom ~55) *won today southern: e tenn st 24-7 14-4 #66/70/81 (reg season done, bye first round, 2-1 tourn = 26-8, kenpom ~65) am east: vermont 26-5 16-0 #69/45/84 (reg season done, 2-1 lose final = 28-6, kenpom ~65) sun belt: ut arlington 23-6 13-3 #72/36/82 (2-0 finish, bye first round, 2-1 tourn = 27-7, kenpom ~65) maac: monmouth 26-5 18-2 #79/42/86 (reg season done, bye first round, 2-1 tourn = 28-6, kenpom ~75) Multi-bid leagues with teams not currently listed in but in contention: west coast: byu 21-10 12-6 #70/69/75 (reg season done, bye first round, 2-1 tourn = 23-11 14-7, kenpom ~65) (gonzaga, st marys in) atlantic 10: rhode island 20-9 12-5 ~#50/~42/52 (1-0 finish, double bye, 2-1 tourn = 23-10 15-6, kenpom ~45) *won today (dayton, vcu in) aac: houston 20-8 11-5 #39/52/47 (2-0 finish, first round bye, 2-1 tourn = 24-9 14-6, kenpom ~35) ucf 19-10 10-7 #73/77/73 (2-0 finish, first round bye, 2-1 tourn = 23-11 14-8, kenpom ~60) memphis 18-11 8-8 #85/109/78 (2-0 finish, no bye, 3-1 tourn = 23-12 13-9, kenpom ~65) (smu, cinci in) Power 5+1 Teams not currently listed in but still in contention: acc: wake forest 17-12 8-9 ~#29/~40/39 (1-0 finish, bye possible, 4-1 tourn = 22-13 13-10, kenpom ~20) *won today ga tech 17-13 8-9 #76/91/75 (1-0 finish, bye possible, 4-1 tourn = 22-14 13-10, kenpom ~50) (unc, ville, nd, duke, fsu, miami, uva, syracuse in) big 10: iowa 16-13 8-8 #73/92/68 (2-0 finish, single bye, 3-1 tourn = 21-14 13-9, kenpom ~50) illinois 18-12 8-9 ~#58/~56/65 (1-0 finish, single bye, 3-1 tourn = 22-13 12-10, kenpom ~45) *won today ohio state 17-13 7-10 #63/62/50 (1-0 finish, single bye, 3-1 tourn = 21-14 11-11, kenpom ~50) indiana 16-14 6-11 #50/93/48 (1-0 finish, likely no bye, 4-1 tourn = 20-15 11-12, kenpom ~40) (purdue, wisc, md, minn, msu, nw, mich in) big 12: kstate 18-12 7-10 ~#35/~58/59 (1-0 finish, then single bye likely, 2-1 tourn = 21-13 10-11, kenpom ~30) *won today tcu 17-13 6-11 ~#45/~65/46 (1-0 finish, then single bye likely, 2-1 tourn = 20-14 9-12, kenpom ~35) *lost today (kansas, iowa st, baylor, wv, ok st in) pac 12: utah 18-10 9-7 #54/81/58 (2-0 finish, possible double bye, 2-1 tourn = 22-11 13-8, kenpom ~45) (usc, cal, ucla, az, oregon in) sec: georgia 17-12 9-8 ~#48/~54/49 (1-0 finish, single bye, 3-1 tourn = 21-13 13-9, kenpom ~35) *won today alabama 17-12 10-7 ~#62/94/76 (1-0 finish, likely single bye, 3-1 tourn = 21-13 14-8, kenpom ~55) *won today ole miss 18-12 9-8 ~#83/71/66 (1-0 finish, likely single bye, 3-1 tourn = 23-12 13-9, kenpom ~60) *lost today texas a&m 16-13 8-9 #57/83/59 (1-0 finish, single bye, 3-1 tourn = 20-14 12-10, kenpom ~45) (vandy, arkansas, fla, sc, kentucky in) big east: (all 8 currently listed in) missouri valley: (witchita st, illinois in) [/QUOTE]

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