Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="AZcuse77, post: 2099152, member: 6173"] I didn't see all of your secondary schedule but just wanted to run the math of how low some of these teams could get their rankings with a loss in the finals. As far as the 8 first place teams I agree MTSU would be the only one without long odds and the finals loss would hurt the KP ranking (which I tried to estimate for). As I wrote I think all 8 will have their names discussed by the committee being top 75 teams and I wondered if the committee would consider more than a 0% chance VS. a power conference team only a few games over .500 on the weak bubble. The three you mentioned are probably the only chances but for example Princeton finishing 3-1 with only a loss to Harvard may not be 0%. Monmouth is probably 0% but they met the criteria so I left them on there. Several of them have RPI's in the 30's or 40's I figured there would at least be discussion even if RPI is discounted now. Maybe it's only 1-2% chance but it'll at least be discussed. But no I didn't mean to say you are ignoring a bunch of teams and mostly looked at your Bracket Matrix stuff so I was looking for a more quantitative approach since so many of the brackets I see seem so off or subjective. For the 4 teams you listed at the end it seems Utah will have the best chance to finish 4th in Pac12 and knock off big time teams to finish up to 4-1 with KP in the 40s. Iowa and TA&M could get their KP in the 40-50 range as well I think but prob not Memphis. Rhode Island, Houston, and Wake should probably already be listed on the "in" side of the bubble IMO. BYU may be in the conversation after beating Zags and would be able to take out St Marys then lose to Zags in final. That still could be too little with a KP in the 60s. Lots of middling Big10/SEC/Big12 teams could emerge so I'm guessing one or two make a deep run. My main goal was to see how much "bursting" of bubbles could happen with Cuse right on the edge even if they won 1-2 more games (I think most likely they need 2 more wins). Nice job with the analysis... [/QUOTE]

Verification: What is a Syracuse fan's favorite color?