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Message: [QUOTE="jdubs30, post: 2083873, member: 1620"] I actually think we're in a much safer spot than people think. I think beating GaTech twice is probably enough. 1 ACCT win would be the icing on the cake. Let's go with Orange79's post above. CBS has Minnesota a 6; compared to 'Cuse and URI an 11. Let's look at us vs. Minnesota. Minnesota gets a big edge in RPI (23 vs. 83) and SOS (23 to 48). But we are much closer to them in KenPom (39 for them, 48 for us) and Sagrin (37 for Minneosta and 38 for Syracuse). However for BPI we have the edge (30 for us, 44 for them) So Minnesota has a slight edge on us in the metrics. As you can clearly tell, the main outlier is RPI - all the other 3 ranking systems have us very close. So I think we can all agree that just going off that, there is NO way Minnesota should be 5 seed lines ahead of us. That's the same difference from Minnesota to a #1 seed. So - CBS must have Minnesota so much higher because of their resume then, since the numbers are fairly close. Well, let's look vs. top 50 - Minnesota (5-5); Cuse (5-6) vs. 51 to 100 - Minnesota (4-2); Cuse (2-2) TOTALS VS. TOP 100: Minnesota (9-7) vs. Cuse (7-8) 101 + losses: Syracuse (3); Minnesota (0) Minnesota has done a good job avoiding the bad loss this year - we haven't. Although we haven't had one since January 1st. Wins away from home: Minnesota (5); Syracuse (2) Minnesota challenged themselves OOC with wins vs. #33 Arkansas, #36 Texas Arlington and #49 Vanderbilt on a neutral court. They lost @FSU. As it stands now, we have 2 top 15 wins, and Minnesota's best win is #21 Purdue - but that was on the road. I do agree that Minnesota clearly has a better resume than us - but 5 seed lines better? Hell no. Our computer numbers are similar to their's as is our record vs. top 100 teams. So now part 2 - CBS has us matched up with Rhode Island as an 11 - which implies they think our resumes are similar. RPI: URI (54); Cuse (83) SOS: URI (67); Cuse (48) KenPom: URI (55); Cuse (48) Sagrin: URI(56); Cuse (38) BPI: URI(41); Cuse (30) The only system they have the edge on us is RPI - which is clearly an outlier for us. However, their RPI falls in line with their rest of their metrics. To me looking at strictly those numbers, there should be 1 seed line separating these teams - now let's look at the rest of the resume Top 50: URI (1-3); Cuse (5-6) This is where URI gets their big time win - Cincy on a neutral court in November 51-100: URI (2-3); Cuse (2-2) TOTAL VS. TOP 100: URI (3-6); Cuse (7-8) Quick Note - URI's best win since November 25th is #96 St. Bonaventure. We have 7 better wins since then. Bad Losses: Surprisingly we are very similar to URI here - they have losses to 101,102 and 194; we have losses to 111,112 and 205. URI was decent OOC - beating Cincy on a neutral floor and Belmont at home. They also lost to Duke, Valpo, Houston and Providence. URI's best road win is #105 Davidson. They have 5 total road wins. We only have 2, but one was against #60 Clemson. I think our resume is more closely compared to Minnesota's than it is to URI's. #14 Cincinnati is a nice win, but we have #13 FSU and #15 UVA. We also have wins against 38,45,47,55 and 60 before you talk about URI's next best win, which is #64 Belmont. URI is 0-2 vs. Dayton - they really could have used one of those. They haven't played VCU yet though. Long story short - I believe our resume compares more closely with the 6 seed than it does the 11 that CBS has playing against in the play-in game. [/QUOTE]

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