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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2089948, member: 1969"]
I think Illinois St is possible, but certainly not at 50% or more.

I do have a general view (that I can't really prove out), that in order to compare apples and oranges, the power ratings (KP, Sag, BPI) really matter for these teams.   I seem to remember they averaged a tad below 50 a few weeks back, which I thought was a positive for them.   Today I see they average 57.  Not nearly as good in my view.

I also know their number in the Matrix is skewed because many have them as the current MVC champ.  So they probablly do not have that much at large support as the number shows.   Unfortunately there is no great way to measure it.

It's certainly in our best interest for Wichita St to win the MVC next weekend, and take our chances with Illinois St as an large.   I think Wichita St, despite the lack of quality wins, is a 100% lock for the NCAA tourney.  With the reliance on some analytics I can't see a team that is averaging #15 in the 3 rating above being left out.
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