Reply to thread

Message

[QUOTE="Melancer46, post: 2424263, member: 1674"]
Nah, you're reading it the opposite way. All of those scenarios are saying that if the Titans go 1-1 down the stretch, Buffalo needs the 1 win to be against the Rams.

If they beat the Jaguars, that improves their record against the AFC, which helps the Titans tiebreaker. The Titans losing to the Rams mathmatically decreases Buffalo's odds of making the playoffs, while the Titans beating the Rams actually improves the odds (due to the increase in the likelihood of a 3 way tie, in which Buffalo generally benefits).

You can play around with all of this at 538's site. [URL="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2017-nfl-predictions/"]2017 NFL Predictions[/URL]

If the Titans beat the Rams and lose to the Jaguars, one win for Buffalo clinches a playoff spot. If the Titans lose both games and the Bills win one, Buffalo only has a 76% chance at the playoffs. And if the Titans lose to the Rams but beat the Jaguars, a 1 win Buffalo team only has a 31% chance of making the playoffs.
[/QUOTE]

Verification

What is a Syracuse fan's favorite color?