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[QUOTE="upperdeck, post: 3166597, member: 474"]
not sure how this thing even works..  fine if you give them 8-8 they have a 70% chance.  but tell me who is getting in then.   there is only one other team above .500 as a wild card. if the chiefs win a few that helps us. say they finish with 10 wins. vikings are the team we need to knock some off.

if you use 8-8 as the baseline that leaves 6 teams with 3+ wins to beat

Broncos need to go 6-1.. not happening and if it does they beat almost everyone behind us and the Bills..

chargers need to 4-3.  good chance. that means beating Jags/raiders/denver all teams we need to lose.  split with Oak/chieffs. beat jags/denver lose to minn thats 8

oakland  need to go 4-4 good chance. split with chargers, lose to chiefs, Beat tenn/jags/jets/den  thats 9

tenn need to go 4-3 good chance, lose to chiefs/saints, split with texans, lose to oak/colts, beat jags thats 6

Jags need to go 4-3  spltit with oak/tenn beat tampa/atlanta split with colts, lose to tenn thats 8

and thats if colts dont win a few games and fall back to 8-8.

at 8-8 we are right there.  win 3 and its really a solid chance..
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