Normally I’d be apprehensive about bills at jags. But the jags have had so much tire pumping from the talking heads that they no longer have that feel of a “nobody believes in us” team, despite the bills being slight favorites at open (I think it flips to jags by Sunday )
Tale of the tape
Jags D: 1st against the run. 20th vs pass
Jags O: 12th passing . 20th running
Bills D: 27th against the run. 1st vs pass
Bills O: 15th passing. 1st running.
So we have a bad run D vs a bad run O
We have a great run D vs a great run O
Then we have a middle of the pack pass offense vs a bad pass defense and a slightly better than average pass offense vs a great pass defense .
Seems to me this game will come down to whether our bad run D can limit their bad run offense vs can their great run D limit our great run offense.
I think the passing for each team will be moderately successful.