Can it at least be better? | Syracusefan.com

Can it at least be better?

SWC75

Bored Historian
Joined
Aug 26, 2011
Messages
32,516
Like
62,713
We all know that North Carolina beat us 67-103 when we played them before. But I wanted to look at the bigger picture: what are the comparative scores vs. common opponents. Do they suggest we have no chance in this game?

Syracuse lost to Tennessee 56-73 on a neutral court. North Carolina beat them 100-92 at home = +25 for North Carolina
Syracuse lost at Virginia 62-84. North Carolina will play there 2/24.
Syracuse beat Pittsburgh 81-73 here and 69-58 there. North Carolina beat Pitt 70-57 on the road. Head to head in the same place, the Tar Heels are +2
Syracuse lost 66-86 at Duke North Carolina beat them 93-84 at home, (they will play at Duke 3/9). That’s +29 for the Heels.
Syracuse beat Boston College here 69-59 but lost to them 75-80 there. UNC won 76-66 there, a +15 advantage.
Syracuse beat U of Miami 72-69 here on Copeland’s shot. North Carolina just beat them on the road 75-72, meaning the teams have broken even, although the venue favored us.
Syracuse lost 69-85 to Florida State here. North Carolina beat them 78-70 there and 75-68 at home, a 23 point advantage in the home games.
Syracuse beat North Carolina State 77-65 at home. UNC won 67-54 at NC State. That +1 point for them but, again, we had the favorable venue.
Syracuse lost 70-99 at Wake Forest. North Carolina beat them 85-64 at home, a +50 advantage that the differences in venues could hardly overcome.
Syracuse beat Louisville 94-92 at home. North Carolina beat them 86-70, also at home, a +14 point advantage.
Syracuse lost to Clemson 68-77 at home. The Tar Heels lost to them 76-80 at home, a +5 point advantage for them.

That’s 10 comparisons plus out game with North Carolina. One comparison comes out even and the Tar Heels win the other ten. Here’s the ranking:
Even, +1, +2, +5, +14, +15, +23, +25, +29, +36, +50
My conclusions are: Yes, it can get worse but it’s more likely to be better and there is a chance this could actually be a close game.
 
prediction-pain.gif
 
1 in 11 chance we go into overtime, no chance we win unless lightning strikes.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
167,562
Messages
4,711,727
Members
5,909
Latest member
jc824

Online statistics

Members online
351
Guests online
2,487
Total visitors
2,838


Top Bottom