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Message: [QUOTE="HoustonCuse, post: 2060643, member: 87"] Honestly it is very tough to see them getting there. UVA - Really there is little reason to expect a win here. That team has one of the best defenses in the country and we still have a very shaky offense in terms of functionality. We have great shooters but a terrible offense. We also have a terrible defense that rises to average at home. Per Kenpom, Cavs has #15 offense and #3 defense. Also UVA is going to come in looking for blood after that NCAA tourney game. I suspect this game will get badly out of hand. The trick will be to not let this beatdown trickle over into the next game(s). My predict: chance of winning 10%. @Clem - Relatively evenly matched opponent but on the road. This will look a lot like NC State which took a miracle to win. If we have the mental toughness to bounce back after the UVA loss, then we have a reasonable chance to win, but it will not be easy. Kenpom rates them better both offensively and defensively than us. My predict: chance of winning 40%. @Pitt - Look Pitt is terrible. I have scars from the past 15 years such that there is no possible way I will predict us to beat Pitt at Pitt out of hand. We are the better team, but we have been the better team in many losses to Pitt before. Stallings, of course, changes the equation. If this exact team was coached by Dixon, I would give us a 20% chance of winning. As is, my predict is: chance of winning 49%. Louisville - This is vintage Pitt with actual good players in terms of our success rate against them. Putting Gillon and Howard up against the #2 rated UL defense? We could have more turnovers than field goals in this game. It is at home so I give us a bump for that. My predict: chance of winning 15%. @GT - They have been very tough at home, racking up some very good wins. But their offense is horri-awful. Although they have a Top 10 defense, it will pale in comparison to UL and UVA and so I think we roll in this game. My predict: chance of winning 65%. Duke - Coach K is back and they have some time to return injured players (or get already returned injured players back to form by then. It has become a rivalry game though, so add in that x-factor. My predict: chance of winning 55%. @Louisville - Please. My predict: chance of winning 1%. GT - Last regular season game in the dome for White, Battle, Gillon, DC, Lydon, Howard against a poor road team. My predict: chance of winning 70%. So given all that. I see us realistically getting 3 more wins out of that group. Add in the miracle of sports and give us one more due to that factor and we go 4-4. 5-3 would require significant improvement over what we saw against NC State. [/QUOTE]

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