Clemson opens -16.5 over Cuse….. | Syracusefan.com
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Clemson opens -16.5 over Cuse…..

In their last 9 FBS games they have averaged 21.8 ppg. With a high of 34, which was the only game over 27 points, which was vs a G6 and only other game over 24.

They have conceded only 23.3 ppg. But that is more than they have scored. Their low is 14 points.

They have played a lot of quality teams over that stretch. But looking at the above how can they be favored by so much?

I would also be thinking of taking the under but our style likely leads to a higher scoring game.

If our D gives up 22 points it will be above avg for the. In their last 10. If our D gives up 25 points it will be their 2nd best of 9 P4 games. If our D gives up 28 points it will be their 2nd best of the last 10. If our D gives up 35 points it will be their best. I think we will learn a lot about our D this game.

So if we scored a new low and conceded a new high, it would be 35-13 which barely covers the spread.
 
I think we have a decent shot to steal one. Their offense has turned it over a bunch and Klubnik has been terrible.
Watched a good part of that game. Surprised how much Klubnik runs the ball. Always thought Clemson had a strong enough Oline that they wouldn't have to run the QB so much. Maybe we get enough clean hits on him to get him banged up or out of the game completely.
 
Clemson at home last year

-16.5 vs APP st
-10 vs NC st
-22 vs Stan
-20.5 vs Virg
-10.5 vs UL

Where do we rate
 
I'm not optimistic because I don't think we can be (at a minimum) neutral at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. Wish I was wrong but that's the reality... we're not there yet with the big boys up front. That's where games are won and lost
 
I'm not optimistic because I don't think we can be (at a minimum) neutral at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. Wish I was wrong but that's the reality... we're not there yet with the big boys up front. That's where games are won and lost
Coaching is a big part of their incompetence picking up blitzes. You don’t need to be a 5 star lineman to learn those fundamentals.
 
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I'm not optimistic because I don't think we can be (at a minimum) neutral at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. Wish I was wrong but that's the reality... we're not there yet with the big boys up front. That's where games are won and lost
Same.

Nixon has proven to be thoughtful with planning but my head says a win is keeping Angeli on two feet after 60 minutes.
 
The 2 times we’ve played them close at their place they’ve had 1 or 2 unforced turnovers and/or the QB gets knocked out. Botched punt reception, fumble knocking on our door returned to the house. Lawrence muffs a handoff. Etc.
 
Clemson offense will probably break out this weekend against ERobs soft D.
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Clemson offense will probably break out this weekend against ERobs soft D.

That’s what I always worry about with teams that have loaded talent but haven’t really played well. Eventually they will, it’s just a matter of when. They may not be great this year but they may not need to be to beat us.
 
We are getting curb stomped

Sadly I agree with you.

We are about to be blown off the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball.

Wins over crappy UConn (very lucky 4th down conversion pass in tight window) and Colgate not very impressive.

Wish I was wrong. I really want us to be big boys, just not there yet
 
Essentially Clemson has to run the table and thus the start would have to begin with us. Dabo refusal to play the transfer game will be his end ultimately.

As for our game, if we don't score early and often we aren't winning.

No way our D keeps them under 30. We are being looked at as a "get right" game for them.
 
This is a team that was down 16-3 to Troy at halftime last week. Troy lost to Memphis 28-7 yesterday. Clemson is in disarray right now. This is college football and not the NFL. This game is 100% winnable.
Absolutely. Clemson is trading on name right now, not performance. We have an opportunity to win this game.

In their last 9 FBS games they have averaged 21.8 ppg. With a high of 34, which was the only game over 27 points, which was vs a G6 and only other game over 24.

They have conceded only 23.3 ppg. But that is more than they have scored. Their low is 14 points.

They have played a lot of quality teams over that stretch. But looking at the above how can they be favored by so much?

I would also be thinking of taking the under but our style likely leads to a higher scoring game.

If our D gives up 22 points it will be above avg for the. In their last 10. If our D gives up 25 points it will be their 2nd best of 9 P4 games. If our D gives up 28 points it will be their 2nd best of the last 10. If our D gives up 35 points it will be their best. I think we will learn a lot about our D this game.

So if we scored a new low and conceded a new high, it would be 35-13 which barely covers the spread.
Stellar post, thanks for looking all of that up. I felt like the math wasn't mathing on that line and you showed why. Basically Vegas thinks Clemson will play their best against us on both sides of the ball, which, little hurtful tbh.
 
Feels like 31-14 where Clemson does enough wrong to not score more.

This is a major line of scrimmage mismatch, can we be creative enough to steal one on the road?

Unless Clemson just goes into complete shut down mode because of already having 2 losses, I just don't see us keeping up.

I want to be wrong so badly, and I'm so often badly wrong.
 

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