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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 4938976, member: 1969"]
I was going to post something like the following before today's game - but I figured why the heck waste my time especially if we lose -- now perhaps some will be more interested.  As I said above the Pitt, Wake and NC St road games are important tilting games for us.

To me this is our target resume to probably be a valid bubble team (our home) heading into conference week based on what I have seen over the years,
21-10
8-10 record in Q1+Q2 games
0 bad losses (a "clean" resume with no Q3 or Q4 losses).
This would get our NET to something acceptable if everything else is fine (below 70)

As a comparison Clemson last year did have a very good 4 Q1 wins, and a nice 7-6 record in Q1+Q2, but they had 5 bad losses.   5!!

Of course the mix of Q1-Q2 matters, but I'll discuss that later.

A)  "Clean Resume" So let's take a step further before today's game.    We were 11-5.
Without glamour wins I think it will be important to have no bad losses -- most bubble teams have one or two so that helps us.

[B]We need to sweep Louisville, win at home vs Notre Dame, and win at home vs FSU to have a clean resume.   If we don't take those 4 games our hopes are pretty bad or dead anyway.  So for the sake of this just assume the sweep.[/B]

B) So after A (sweeping those 4 games), that takes us to 15-5 before tonight.

That means we had to go 6-5 in the remaining 11 games which as of now are all Q1+Q2.   After tonight its 5-5.   [B]So this is our target in my view winning 5 of the following 10 games to get on the bubble and then wait.[/B]

At Wake (Q1)
At NC St (Q1)
At Georgia Tech (very close to Q3)
At BC
At Clemson (Q1)

NC St (Very close to Q3)
Virginia Tech
Clemson (Q1)
UNC (Q1)
Miami

5-5 in the above seems achievable.   Obviously if we could mix in a few Q1 wins as part of the mix the better.
[/QUOTE]

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