NineOneSeven
2018-19 Iggy Hoops Leader Scorer
- Joined
- Aug 30, 2011
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Some notes-
Like most teams, Dayton appears to be much deeper than us. They also seem to be OK shooting from deep. I think we are very evenly matched. I think lost in all of the discussion about simply being in the tournament (rightly so) is the fact this really isn't an ideal matchup imo. A lot of what we hope for is playing a team that is not familiar with our defense. Well, this team is.
We are slightly better according to Kenpom. About a 1.5 point favorite. Win this game and the seasons a success IMO.
They're a really bad offensive team (160th in KP, the only teams in the field worse than them are AQ's) but a really good defensive team.
One thing I always look at for an opponent of ours is how they do on the offensive glass; Dayton is below 200th so it's possible they won't kill us there. I'm guessing a score close to the game in 2014 (55-53), let's hope we're on the right side of it this time
They're a really bad offensive team (160th in KP, the only teams in the field worse than them are AQ's) but a really good defensive team.
One thing I always look at for an opponent of ours is how they do on the offensive glass; Dayton is below 200th so it's possible they won't kill us there. I'm guessing a score close to the game in 2014 (55-53), let's hope we're on the right side of it this time
I'm fairly confident we will make more than one shot outside of the paint, too.
Call me crazy, but I think this is a game Coleman should get a lot of run (if he can).
Honestly this is a terrible matchup, they have the prerequisite of 3 guys that can shoot the three at a high percentage to space out the zone, and on top of that, clutch and grab tight man pressure on the other end. Glad to get in but this one is going to be down to the wire.
Some notes-
Like most teams, Dayton appears to be much deeper than us. They also seem to be OK shooting from deep. I think we are very evenly matched. I think lost in all of the discussion about simply being in the tournament (rightly so) is the fact this really isn't an ideal matchup imo. A lot of what we hope for is playing a team that is not familiar with our defense. Well, this team is.
Is or is NOT familiar with our defense? If yes, how are they familiar?
We played them two years ago.
From this point forward, the only stats I care about are our opponents rebounding stats. That alone is 85% of the game.
We played them two years ago.
44doubledees said:Honestly this is a terrible matchup, they have the prerequisite of 3 guys that can shoot the three at a high percentage to space out the zone, and on top of that, clutch and grab tight man pressure on the other end. Glad to get in but this one is going to be down to the wire.
Yeah, if we go 0-10 from 3 again I would be surprised.I'm fairly confident we will make more than one shot outside of the paint, too.
Call me crazy, but I think this is a game Coleman should get a lot of run (if he can).
Honestly this is a terrible matchup, they have the prerequisite of 3 guys that can shoot the three at a high percentage to space out the zone, and on top of that, clutch and grab tight man pressure on the other end. Glad to get in but this one is going to be down to the wire.
So predictions on which of their bench guys goes off from three?
Xeyrius Williams looks to be that guy to me. I'll guess 5/8.