Agree 100%, doesn't mean he wont take a shot. That said, he seems to continue to evolve as a coach every year, keeps getting better. He's always been a hell of a recruiter and his message works in the South for sure.
He's clearly a top 3-5 coach, IMO but he's also had the QB. Jimbo cooled off for a couple years but I think with their qb coming back as a sophomore FSU will be tough next year. To me there is Saban #1 and #2 starting to look like Dabo and not Urban but just when you count Urban out just a bit he will come back. Jimbo and Harbaugh are next up as well.
One thing they all have in common GREAT recruiters with budgets and facilities that most coaches could only dream of