I actually meant to say touchdown underdogs, but the point isn't much different. You are seven point underdogs to NC State this year, who just lost to Wake.
That's great you beat Louisville. That doesn't make that an even game, last year or next year. Yes, you can upset some people, but you can't pretend then you can't be upset. You're counting every game you should win as a win, and some of the games you shouldn't win as a win. That's just not how it works over time. Yes, you'll get better, but everyone (other than Louisville) should be better as well.
You will be double digit underdogs to FSU, Clemson, probably Notre Dame and possibly Louisville. You will likely be 7-pt+ underdogs to Louisville and at Pitt and possibly Maryland. You should win, but will not be prohibitive favorites, against BC and NC State, and possibly Duke.
Right now I count Villanova and Wake forest as somewhat certain wins. And that might be generous, considering that you guys are touchdown underdogs right now to a team that just lost to Wake Forest.
All I'm saying is that it would be damning to schedule a game that is anything less than a certain win.
That is a crazy challenging schedule for a team that will be overacheiving to get to a bowl game this year (by any objective observer).
I understand that you look at that and think that's not accurate, that those kind of point spreads are wrong because sometimes you guys win as big underdogs. It just doesn't work that way, and I don't know how to explain it otherwise. Nobody beats the odds over time. You're asking Syracuse football to do so. If it was easy, and you were right that Syracuse football is being constantly underestimated, you could make a bundle in Vegas.