ESPN FPI Playoff predictor

[Cuseregular]

Clemson and UNC are beatable, but can also blow this team out.

FSU lines up to be a woodshed game.

Smells like those early 90’s games.

Yep, still, if #6 doesn’t go down, can be a special season

 

[HtownOrange]

ESPN has SU ranked at #16 with and FPI of 15.

2024 College Football Power Index - ESPN

View the 2024 College Football power index on ESPN. The FPI is the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season.

www.espn.com

While the database is limited as this is week three, some weeding out has occurred.

Rankings and trend of other teams of note:

FSU #10, down 5 (Was FSU looking forward to Clemson?)
Notre Dame #12, down 3
Michigan #14, down 4
Miami #15, even
Syracuse #16, up 2 (I like the company we are keeping here...)
Clemson #17, up 3
TAMU #18, up 1
UNC #23, up 3
Louisville #28, down 1
Duke #29, up 9
SMU #31, up 9
Cal #36, down 3
Pitt #44, down 13 (I'm not into a lot of omens and signs, but Pitt at #44 ...)
Rutgers 46, up 8 (was beating VT worthy of a jump of 8?)
NCState #49, down 3
WVU #55, up 6
Wake Forest #58, down 3
Georgia Tech #59, up 3
Purdue #61, down 2
VATech #78, down 7
BC #85, up 16 (A scrappy loss to a top 10 team pays off in some ways.)
Army #86, up 10 (SU cannot overlook Army, see FSU, but should handle business)
Stanford #95, down 14
Virginia #102, down 5
UConn #122, down 7 (the pups don't seem to want to get the invite to the Big 12)
Western Michigan #123, down 4
UMass #127, up 2 (Warming up for the B1G acceptance speech)


Obviously much can change over the next few weeks, but it is interesting to track and see how the stats treat SU.

 

[orangemass]

Here are what ESPN's Analytics thinks is our chances of winning each game for the rest of the season, not sure how updated it is

Army - 90.7%
Clemson - 58.3%
UNC - 50.2%
FSU - 20.6%
VT - 81.7%
BC - 94.9%
Pitt - 65.3%
GT - 75.9%
WF - 82.0%

Interesting. Not sure that unc number makes sense

 

[OburgOrange]

 

[syrBossHogg]

Interesting. Not sure that unc number makes sense

That stood out to me too

 

[phreddie]

Texas below Alabama, and FSU below LSU.

 

[GoSU96]

Interesting. Not sure that unc number makes sense

It’s because of their defense.

 

[cusefan88]

One game at a time.

 

[atlanticuse]

we dropped four spots to #20 after squandering the late TD at home.

 

[blust2i3d4]

ESPN has SU ranked at #16 with and FPI of 15.

2024 College Football Power Index - ESPN

View the 2024 College Football power index on ESPN. The FPI is the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season.

www.espn.com

While the database is limited as this is week three, some weeding out has occurred.

Rankings and trend of other teams of note:

FSU #10, down 5 (Was FSU looking forward to Clemson?)
Notre Dame #12, down 3
Michigan #14, down 4
Miami #15, even
Syracuse #16, up 2 (I like the company we are keeping here...)
Clemson #17, up 3
TAMU #18, up 1
UNC #23, up 3
Louisville #28, down 1
Duke #29, up 9
SMU #31, up 9
Cal #36, down 3
Pitt #44, down 13 (I'm not into a lot of omens and signs, but Pitt at #44 ...)
Rutgers 46, up 8 (was beating VT worthy of a jump of 8?)
NCState #49, down 3
WVU #55, up 6
Wake Forest #58, down 3
Georgia Tech #59, up 3
Purdue #61, down 2
VATech #78, down 7
BC #85, up 16 (A scrappy loss to a top 10 team pays off in some ways.)
Army #86, up 10 (SU cannot overlook Army, see FSU, but should handle business)
Stanford #95, down 14
Virginia #102, down 5
UConn #122, down 7 (the pups don't seem to want to get the invite to the Big 12)
Western Michigan #123, down 4
UMass #127, up 2 (Warming up for the B1G acceptance speech)


Obviously much can change over the next few weeks, but it is interesting to track and see how the stats treat SU.

We dropped like a rock after letting Army have that late touchdown this week. It looks much better giving up 10 points than 17 points.

 

[djorange1989]

We dropped like a rock after letting Army have that late touchdown this week. It looks much better giving up 10 points than 17 points.

Eh, Utah dropped more slots than us after beating a top 25 UCLA. It is what it is, just keep winning

 

[GoSU96]

We dropped like a rock after letting Army have that late touchdown this week. It looks much better giving up 10 points than 17 points.

Like a rock?

Jesus

 

[Cuse181]

We dropped like a rock after letting Army have that late touchdown this week. It looks much better giving up 10 points than 17 points.

Good thing FPI is a predictive tool and has no bearing on the teams season whatsoever.

 

[HtownOrange]

We dropped like a rock after letting Army have that late touchdown this week. It looks much better giving up 10 points than 17 points.

It's probably based more on past competition's performance than Syracuse' performance against Army.

Colgate is Colgate
WMU lost ...again...
Purdue Purdidn't

Regardless, dropping four slots isn't the end of the world. SU is still a Top 25 in the FPI.