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[QUOTE="chugg21, post: 4215631, member: 3360"]
Kind of funny you brought this up. I'm heading over to the  near me in like 2 hours to go cash in my Leclerc ticket from this week and toss a little on Sainz.

I'd say the thing to get used to is that at least half of the races are likely to be won by Ferrari and Red Bull. Can even rule out Perez for the most part, so I'd guess that of the 23 races that probably 14 are going to be won by Max, Leclerc and Sainz. Perez may run into 1 or 2 to get it to 16. That leaves around maybe 1/3 of the races to be won by anyone else. Sainz beat Leclerc last year so they are on a pretty even level though Charles is thought of higher and Sainz has struggled a little bit with the new car.

So once you get below Russell you are basically just throwing money away on a hail mary that may happen 2 or 3 times a year where something crazy happens at turn 1 and a couple cars get taken out or there is weather or a safety car happens at an odd time and makes things go haywire. It will definitely happen at least once this season and I hope it happens a bunch of times but the odds kind of reflect it appropriately. Sainz is the only one that I see as a value. Maybe Perez too but not as much.
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