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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2505619, member: 1969"] The 10% is the percentage of brackets they are in on the matrix as of today. Not a probability that they will get in. They have no quad 1 wins, and that has worked against teams from these level of conferences in recent years. (Illinois St in 2017, San Diego St in 2016) They also have decent, but not over the top power rankings, which I believe the committee does use for smaller schools to more fairly compare apples and oranges. Teams like Boise don't have the opportunity to get Quad 1 wins so power rankings see like a fairer equalizer. If the KenPom was closer to #40, rather than #53 I would feel stronger about their chances. I won't have them in on my final picks, at the same time if I pick someone off the radar that gets in it could be the. But they are not helped by the fact that they can't really improve their resume much from here on out. Quad 3 wins are not going to move you. [/QUOTE]