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[QUOTE="OrangeXtreme, post: 1747607, member: 41"]
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[B][I]8. Best At Exceeding NCAA Tournament Projections: Jim Boeheim, Syracuse[/I][/B]
[I]
Boeheim’s Orange were a No. 10 seed that may not have even deserved an at-large bid; analytics aren’t necessary to prove they were the most surprising team in the Final Four. But according to kenpom’s NCAA tournament log5 probabilities, Syracuse opened the tourney with just a 1.5% chance to make it to Houston—a far more unlikely scenario than the chance of Villanova winning it all (7.3%) or No. 15 Middle Tennessee State upsetting No. 2 Michigan State in the first round (7.8%). The Blue Raiders’ shocker certainly made Syracuse’s path to the Final Four easier, but it still had to get through Gonzaga and Virginia, and in the Elite Eight game against the Cavaliers, the Orange’s [URL='http://kenpom.com/winprob.php?g=5992']win probability odds had dropped to 2%[/URL] with just under 10 minutes left in the second half.[/I]
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