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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 4204892, member: 1969"] It was St. Mary's in 2018. And their situation is not like San Francisco in 2022. It would be like comparing a 13-7 ACC team in 2022 to a 13-7 ACC team in 2015. The WCC is much better metric wise this year. St. Mary's was not close to a lock in 2018. They were in on 87 of 187 brackets (46%) and were the last team in on the bracket matrix. San Francisco is currently in on 99.5% of the brackets and is the 10th last team in the tournament per the matrix. They are on not on the same plane entering Selection Sunday. I probably would have said that St. Mary's deserved to get in at the time because I tend to give the benefit of the doubt to mid-majors, but I would have also said there is a very good chance they will not get in based on how the committee selects teams. [URL unfurl="true"]http://bracketmatrix.com/matrix_2018.html[/URL] As noted above the WCC in 2022 is way better than the WCC in 2018 because of how the conference performed OOC. - St. Mary's played 3 "Group 1" games back in 2018. San Francisco played 10 this year in large part because of the way the conference has improved. But also due to their playing a much tougher OOC schedule - St. Mary's played 9 overall Q1+Q2 games vs 17 by San Francisco. - Those figures of 10 and 17 by San Francisco are right up there with the lower tier P5 conferences. In terms of pointing out that St. Mary's played nobody OOC. That is true. And they were dinged for it. But that is not at all the case of San Francisco. - San Francisco had the #28 Non-Conference SOS. St. Mary's was around 300. St. Mary's played 2 top 100 teams OOC -- San Francisco has played 8. St. Mary's was rightfully punished for it - why would San Francisco be punished for it when its NCSOS is better than most teams on the bubble line. You can say that Santa Clara is not a very good win , but the Q1 road win line extends out to many moderate teams like St. John's, Kansas St, Vandebilt, Fresno St, Colorado, Washington St, Saint Louis, Mississippi St. In terms of comparing San Francisco's Q1 performance to Rutgers. For sure Rutgers is better in Q1 quality win. Rutgers is far better than anybody else on the bubble in Q1 wins. But games outside of Q1 matter and that is why Rutgers is on the bubble in the first place. I would find a spot for Rutgers if I was on the committee but its certainly not coming at the expense of San Francisco. It would be at the expense of one of the teams mentioned below. If you are going to compare the quantity/quality of Q1 wins of San Francisco compare them to teams like Notre Dame, VCU, SMU, Wyoming. The field that ha to get to 68 teams. Not everyone will have monster wins. San Francisco is also very strong on the NET and KP (22 and 21 respectively). St Mary's was around 30 on both. That's not a nominal difference optic wise. [/QUOTE]

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