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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2095206, member: 1969"]
I agree there are way too many definitive statements.  And anybody that reads my posts, I usually say things like good chance, more likely than not, but hardly work in absolutes.

But I feel that our resume at 17-15 is so bad in certain regards that I can be pretty close to definitive.   There are 2 measures that we would not only be bad in, but the worst ever in, and 1 other measure we may the best worst ever in.
- We would have the worst RPI Ever by alot (about 100 vs 75)
- We would have the most losses ever by an at-large team
- We may have the lowest amount of road/neutral wins by an at large ever (2)

Those 3 things open the room to quite a bit of judgment and inconsistency which is always a concern.   There has also been 6 teams in history that have had 6 top 50 wins and did not make the tournament (per Jerry Palm last week)

I'm not usually an RPI guy, but as I said earlier it can't be out of control.

One win brings the RPI way down to the 80's and at least we don't have the  most losses.  It also gives us one more win against another bubble team,  But someone earlier said, that win isn't that great, so why would the Georgia Tech win put us over the top.  Well it helps our resume in many regards, but that person is right it doesn't clear put us  over the top.   But that doesn't show that 17 wins may be enough IMO -- it shows that 19 wins might be needed.
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