Millhouse
Living Legend
- Joined
- Aug 16, 2011
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We are right at qb1 throwing 80% of total passes.
For teams whose QB1 throws more than that this year, their winning percentage is 60%
For teams whose qb1 throws less than 80% of the teams passes, the winning percentage is 44%
Change the threshold to 90%, it's still significant. Teams where QB throws >90% of their passes still win 60% of the time, the others win 50% of the time. (FCS wins are the reason it's not more zero sum, I guess. Also, eams that don't throw the ball go into the second bucket)
I know that part of the reason some bad teams might split the attempts is because QB1 failed. But this is still a pretty good indication that teams have a tough time dealing with even minor qb injuries.
Roughly the difference between 7-5 and 5-7
Not close to perfect but trying to take one simple example of depth.
This should've been a 5-7 team and we got a little lucky to get 6 or more wins.
For teams whose QB1 throws more than that this year, their winning percentage is 60%
For teams whose qb1 throws less than 80% of the teams passes, the winning percentage is 44%
Change the threshold to 90%, it's still significant. Teams where QB throws >90% of their passes still win 60% of the time, the others win 50% of the time. (FCS wins are the reason it's not more zero sum, I guess. Also, eams that don't throw the ball go into the second bucket)
I know that part of the reason some bad teams might split the attempts is because QB1 failed. But this is still a pretty good indication that teams have a tough time dealing with even minor qb injuries.
Roughly the difference between 7-5 and 5-7
Not close to perfect but trying to take one simple example of depth.
This should've been a 5-7 team and we got a little lucky to get 6 or more wins.