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Message: [QUOTE="Scotch, post: 4565213, member: 700"] KenPom is just math. The efficiency numbers are awesome because they dig deeper into a team's performance beyond just wins and losses which have far more variance as broad stats (think the Minnesota Vikings this year in the NFL - KenPom would have hated them despite their gaudy record in the regular season). What KenPom can't account for is how teams evolve (or don't) over the course of a season. November counts for as much as February. Part of me likes that, because when the committee was looking at "last 10 games" as a major metric it felt over-weighted. At the same time it's obvious that teams change over the course of the year (getting healthy, hurt, coaches finding optimal rotations, young players maturing, etc.). KenPom is the best we have, but that's the way you can find arbitrage against it. [/QUOTE]