risk/reward. its not as simple as just saying go cash in now.
cashing in for $250k a year or less is fine to say - but you can do that next year too... and try to improve your stock for a $50mil+ career
there are no right or wrong answers. players have to make their own decisions.
I can't really agree with this.
The best scenario he can have is staying an extra year and being a non lotto first rounder and that is very unlikely given age and trends. But say he does that might get him $6M guaranteed. After that he has to prove he is a legit player to get more. And the path to a second contract is no easier if he stays or leave.
Your post seems to imply that he develops more at Syracuse next year, than he would in the G-League or Europe, which really isn't the case anymore.
Plenty of players are now going undrafted, developing outside of college, proving their worth, and then getting nice 2nd contracts from teams, (in fact more quickly than a first rounder can) You don't need to be a first rounder, and you don't need to be in college to develop. Look at Toronto, they have 6 players who are contributing a lot or at least a bit this year who are either undrafted (5) or were a late second rounder (1)
Fred Van VanVleet is looking to get a 80+ million contract next year. He has already pocketed about $20M since going undrafted.
Terrence Davis, an outsanding rookie, went undrafted and is due for a much bigger contract in 2 years. (on track for $10 million a year at some point)
Chris Boucher was undrafted and he will probably be able to eek out another $5 million (over term. maybe not per year) in his next contract.
Norm Powell was a 2nd rounder (47th overall). After 2 promising years, he got a $44 million contract.
Matt Thomas was undrafted after an undistinguished career at Iowa St, went to Europe, and came back and got a guaranteed $2.5 million.
Oshae Brissett seemed to be regressing a bit at Syracuse as a sophomore, and he seems to have found a good spot in Toronto on a 2 way contract. He is developing just as good here. Not sure though if he has a career long term. He still has some development to do.