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Message: [QUOTE="texascpa, post: 2302379, member: 468"] This work has already been done in the paper he mentions in the video. The 2-point conversion is the easiest to analyze. In fact, [URL='https://www.backingthepack.com/2011/7/24/2291217/two-point-conversion-attempts-through-the-years']here are stats back from 2011. [/URL] In college, it makes sense to kick the extra point as the 2-point conversion is only converted 41% of the time, and it yields a lower value per 10 tries than the kick. Now, [URL='https://www.milehighreport.com/2015/5/20/8628917/kick-the-pat-or-go-for-2-math-favors-the-2-point-conversion']according to this article, the NFL success rate is 50%,[/URL] but the yield on every 10 tries is 9.92 points for a 2 point conversion and 9 points for extra point kicks. So, it would make sense to go for it in the NFL. You will never get NFL teams to change their habits, though. [/QUOTE]