HRE Otto IV
Hall of Fame
- Joined
- Jan 14, 2016
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Every game this year we have come out aggressive, throwing the ball down the field resulting in points on the board. Then we have gotten conservative on O and struggle in the middle of the game. We see lots of runs and shorter passes. At some point we fall too far behind and start throwing it down the field again. It is frustrating as hell especially with the pass game working, while the run game is the worst it has been since 2007.
With QB sacks and scrambles it is hard to say if a play was a designed run or pass. So this might not be entirely fair. Under Babers:
38.6 rushes per game in 2016
48.0 passes
86.6 total plays
38.7 rushes in 2015 (Bowling Green)
42.4 passes
81.1 total
39.7 rushes in 2014 (Bowling Green)
39.1 passes
78.8 total
43.6 rushes in 2013 (Eastern Illinois)
43.4 passes
87.0 total
38.1 rushes in 2012 (Eastern Illinois)
46.2 passes
84.2 total
That has been pretty balanced his entire career. Despite my feelings we haven't been all that balanced. In fact it is the least balanced Babers has been. It is also interesting to see that we have the highest plays per game, even though the O is not clicking.
Looking at Baylor for comparison you see more runs than passes. In fact they have been Top 15 in rushes per game nationally the last 4 years. Yet in passing attempts they have been 81st, 14th, 36th, and 30th. So this system is more of a running system than a passing system. Which certainly doesn't fit our personnel.
Whether it is the RBs, the OL, or both we aren't going to run it well this year. Slinging it around will give us the best chance at winning games. So what is more important: Force feeding the RBs and staying true to the system? Or getting to 6 Ws within the framework of the system but not being pure to its nature? You also have to take into account how bad the D is. The O needs to outscore teams, which isn't happening with runs.
I still like our chances of getting to a Bowl this year. But if we stay 100% true to the system I see 4 Ws tops.
With QB sacks and scrambles it is hard to say if a play was a designed run or pass. So this might not be entirely fair. Under Babers:
38.6 rushes per game in 2016
48.0 passes
86.6 total plays
38.7 rushes in 2015 (Bowling Green)
42.4 passes
81.1 total
39.7 rushes in 2014 (Bowling Green)
39.1 passes
78.8 total
43.6 rushes in 2013 (Eastern Illinois)
43.4 passes
87.0 total
38.1 rushes in 2012 (Eastern Illinois)
46.2 passes
84.2 total
That has been pretty balanced his entire career. Despite my feelings we haven't been all that balanced. In fact it is the least balanced Babers has been. It is also interesting to see that we have the highest plays per game, even though the O is not clicking.
Looking at Baylor for comparison you see more runs than passes. In fact they have been Top 15 in rushes per game nationally the last 4 years. Yet in passing attempts they have been 81st, 14th, 36th, and 30th. So this system is more of a running system than a passing system. Which certainly doesn't fit our personnel.
Whether it is the RBs, the OL, or both we aren't going to run it well this year. Slinging it around will give us the best chance at winning games. So what is more important: Force feeding the RBs and staying true to the system? Or getting to 6 Ws within the framework of the system but not being pure to its nature? You also have to take into account how bad the D is. The O needs to outscore teams, which isn't happening with runs.
I still like our chances of getting to a Bowl this year. But if we stay 100% true to the system I see 4 Ws tops.