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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 4304370, member: 1969"]
DeGrom has a lot of work to do to become a Hall of Famer, as his late start to his career (age 26) works against him - he is far from a certainty given he is already 34.   And its not necessarily the 77 career wins, as modern day analysts will rely on WAR instead and not use the wins against him.  Some old curmudgeons may still be bothered by the wins.

As a base comparison vs Player "x".  Player "x" only received [B]2.4%[/B] of the Hall of Fame vote and was off the ballot in his first year -- I actually would have had him on my fake pretend ballot.

Player "x" v Degrom

Cy Youngs - 2 vs 2
Cy Young (Top 5) - 5 vs 3
ERA Titles - 3 vs 1
WAR - 52 vs 42
Wins - 139 vs 77
Neither has accomplished too much in the postseason.

Player "x" was Johan Santana who was outstanding in the 2000's.

Degrom will probably need to be highly successful until the age of 39 to become a serious hall candidate.   And some post-season dynamics always is a bonus even if it is somewhat out of his control    Its not an unreasonable expectation, but far from certain as well.

What also hurts Degrom is that there are a number of starters within 5 years of his age that have much better Hall resumes . -- Verlander (WAR 75) , Scherzer (WAR 69), Kershaw (WAR 74), vs Degrom's 42.    He doesn't need to be at the same level as the Big 3, but he needs to close the gap a fair amount which makes his next 5 years really important to becoming a hall of famer.

The other 38 year old who has a high career WAR is Zach Greinke (75), who has under the radar become a strong HOF candidate... only retired starting pitcher in MLB history that I see outside of the Hall with a higher WAR is Schilling at 79.
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