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[QUOTE="OrangeFoo, post: 232524, member: 210"]
A couple of points which some seem to be missing here:
1) It's a pretty common statistical practice to take out the worst performance and the best performance when looking at data over a long course of time to control for one off anomalies. So it's perfectly ok for the espn guy to take out 03... although he probably should not have taken out 96.  I'm not sure what that does to the analysis.
2) The point of the OP is that JB coaches different in November when the games don't matter as much than he does in March when they do matter.  The folks defending JB by saying he went 31-2 in the regular season so you're not allowed to bitch are making the point for the bitchers.  This year was one of JB's finest coaching jobs but now that the games matter much more he has totally gotten more conservative with his coaching.  If he coached now like he did in the beginning of the year I would bet that yesterday would not have been so close.  Now I have no time machine so I can't back up my assertion with facts so I guess all of the staunch JB defenders can ride off happily into the sunset.
 
Here's the deal though... we almost lost yesterday to a team whom if we had played them in December we would have beaten them by 20+.
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