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[QUOTE="IthacaMatt, post: 2203489, member: 405"]
Seriously, there is a lot of correlation between HS hoops ratings and actual on-court results.  Much more accurate than football, because there are fewer players, and fewer dependencies on how other players play, and the extent to which that defines your individual success.

Honestly, most 5 star players (top 20, roughly) are immediate impact players in college, and half go one-and-done.  Nearly all the rest are gone by year two.

Four star players (our bread-and-butter) are typically ranked from about 20-75, give or take.  These kids range from just-missed-McDonald's AA (like Paul Harris or Dion Waiters) to kids ranked in the 40s or so (C.J. Fair type of players) to big guys who usually take a year or two to make an impact (50+), but have good measurables.

So, if you want to say that rankings are not science, yes I agree.  But if you think rankings don't matter, then you just haven't been following recruiting long enough to see the trends.
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