I think you're thinking one year ahead. 09-10 team was the one that had just lost Flynn / Devendorf / Harris, which was a lot of points and production to make up. Triche was an incoming frosh. Scoop was coming off of an injury, and was an unknown commodity. Joseph hadn't done anything in his freshman year, and there was an [in] famous post on this board prior to that year questioning whether he was athletic enough to play at this level. Johnson was a transfer, and we weren't fully sure what he was capable of. And Rautins was questioned by many, as well.
I think you're thinking of the 10-11 team, which was Rick's senior year.
Yea, sorry, I had misunderstood what you meant by the 2010 team in this context.
But I also think this year is much more of a question mark than '09-10.
Coming into the '09 season, SU had three players who had averaged double digits in a college basketball season - Wes Johnson, Arinze Onuaku, and Andy Rautins. This year, SU has one: Trevor Cooney. Rick Jackson had also averaged 8 and 6 as a sophomore, so I think you'd have to say he was more of an established player going into that season than Rak is today. Even Scoop had played a lot more as a freshman (including starting 10 games) than Gbinje did last year, although he had missed the entire season before '09-10 due to injury. On Wes, I agree no one was fully sure what he was capable of, but wouldn't you agree we were more confident of him than any player on this year's roster? We had a year of glowing practice reports and, unlike the usual freshman, he had already proven he could do it while at ISU.
Going into the '09-10 season, the top 5 guys looked to be: Scoop, Rautins, Wes, Jackson, Arinze. Four out of five of them had already put up starter-level numbers in at least one season (10 or more points for Rautins, Wes, and Arinze, the 8 and 6 for Jackson [numbers I think we'd all be happy with from Rak this year]). The other was, as you point out, coming off an injury, but had started a third of the season the year before.
Going into this season, the top 5 guys look to be: Joseph, Cooney, Roberson, McCulloch, Rak. Two of them have put up starter-level numbers, and that's being generous to Rak. (And this doesn't change of course if you sub in G for one of the guys.)
That '09-10 definitely surprised on the upside. But it was an experienced team with a lot of guys who had already proven their mettle.