So, past 24 hours I have been reading up on this and listening to people smarter than me talk about the fallout of what is coming next. A few things I have heard.
1) The competitive gulf between the HAVES and HAVE-NOTS is now larger than ever. With the Power 5 schools now going to share 20% of their media rights deals with players, the non-power 5 schools are at a huge competitive disadvantage, and they will die a fast death once this all kicks in (not die in like go away, just die in not being able to compete with the Big Boy conferences for talent.) Hell, this ruling makes it tough for the ACC and BIG 12 to keep up with the SEC/Big 10 and the ACC and Big 12 are going to struggle. For the smaller conferences, they literally have no shot in hell of being competitive with the P5 schools on the field moving forward.
The next logical step after this news is the Big10/SEC absorbing up who they want from the Big 12 and ACC and splitting away from the non-power 5 schools and creating their own league, essentially. Now that they have to share TV rights deals, its an arms race between the SEC and BIG 10 to build up the conference, re-work their TV deals to get more money, so after they SHARE this money with the players, they still come out way ahead. Even for the super rich SEC/BIG 10 status quo now is not what it was yesterday financially. So, build up, get new richer deals, so more take home money for all of the schools.
This clears the path for that to happen and probably sooner than it would have happened anyway in time if this news didn't happen this week. Long Story short; Recruiting in the SEC and BIG 10 will be very easy, and its hard for other schools to recruit against them now. And the players in the transfer portal will be looking to run to SEC and Big 10 Schools above all else knowing the money there is greater.
2) With schools being able to pay the players directly, expect a lot of changes. Obviously, unionization is coming for the players. It won't be easy because, unlike MLB/NFL/NBA, these kids are only going to be in school, and this union is for 1-4 years max, a high churn rate obviously, so the union won't be as powerful and will look different than the ones we see in professional sports. But it will happen and they will fight for the players.
3) Paying players and how it ties into scholarships will be very interesting to see. With players now being "paid school employees," do scholarships the way we know them change drastically? Will Schols be like, your tuition is covered in your scholarship, but since your a "paid employee of the school" you must pay for your Room and Food on campus, so bill is in the mail for that make sure you pay it on time. Schools will push for that, Im sure in any CBA the "union" works out this will be addressed. But, if players are employees, getting a cut of the TV rights deals, then the days of "complete and total free rides" may be changing.
3) NIL isn't going away nor will it change much from its current structure. Nothing with this news will affect NIL
4) Total Scholarship limits (aka Roster limits aka Roster caps) are going to be the big fallout from this. There has to be somewhat of an even playing field and expect to be in total scholarship limits for each school. And the key is for each sport scholarship number cannot exceed the roster limit.
Say each school gets 150 scholarships (again just an example and round number) Football will have a roster limit of 90 roster spots, No school can allocate MORE than 90 scholorships to it's football team. Some schools may only want 75 scholarships allocated to football, have 15 walk-ons, and that is how you get to 90 roster spots. And use the 15 they can allocate towards football if they want and use them elsewhere instead and beef up its baseball, field hockey, and track and field teams.
But a school like CLEMSON (just for example) can't allocate 105 scholarships towards football, get rid of their walk-on program, because they are only allowed 90 roster spots and 90 scholarships max towards football.
And in the sports that bring in little revenue, say field hockey. If the roster limit is say 25 for example, you may have one school with only 8 scholarship girls on roster, rest walk-on's. And one school with 20 scholarship players on roster because each school will divide up the scholarships differently amongst all the sports. But to sum it up...a lot of these "nonrevenue sports" will be going away, unfortunately because of this. And the ones that won't go away will have MAJOR staff cuts as more money is now going out in all athletic departments. Everyone will be tightening up and counting pennies.
5) The one surprising thing in this is that MARCH MADNESS isn't going away. It was thought that when (again when not if) the BIG 10/SEC split away from the NCAA and all of the other conferences that they would do their own version of March Madness just with those schools. There is actually now protections in place to stop that. So, even if the SEC/BIG10 do split away, March Madness is preserved and they still have to play with the small schools each March in postseason basketball. Odd this got lumped in with everything else but ultimately good.
Those are some of the things I have heard/read thus far. Nothing is set in stone, obviously, but the landscape has changed forever now. Is this GOOD or BAD for a private school like Syracuse? I would say ultimately probably BAD. Maybe not right away, but in time, it will be. We better hope the BIG 10 throws us a life jacket when the next scramble happens in a few years. Or hope the SEC wants to expand north. We will see