NCAA Tournament Simuation - Midwest (Indianapolis) | Syracusefan.com

NCAA Tournament Simuation - Midwest (Indianapolis)

jncuse

I brought the Cocaine to the White House
Joined
Feb 19, 2012
Messages
21,106
Like
38,077
This is the region with Syracuse in it (See third post in thread as it comes up_

1584496596279.png
 

#2 Villanova 86, #15 Northern Kentucky 74


Northern Kentucky had a lead of 4 early in the second half, and drew within one 65-64 with 7 minutes left. But Villanova pulled away in the end.

1584496793592.png


1584496833078.png


1584496984886.png
 
#10 Syracuse 87, #7 Michigan 77

Syracuse continues its magical March run, winning the ACC conference tourney then beating Michigan by 10. Syracuse was led by Marek Dolezaj, who continued to build off his MOP performance in the ACC tourney. Maybe the comparisons to Keith Van Horn were real :p

Elijah Hughes was solid. Sidibe/Guerrier combined for a beastly 22 rebounds in 45 minutes, as Syracuse surprisingly won the rebound battle 39-29.

Michigan was up 4 with 15 minutes left in the second half, Syracuse took the lead with 14 minutes left in the second half, and steadily grew the lead and did not feel too much stress in the last five minutes of the game.

1584497153198.png


1584497238318.png
:p

UP NEXT = VILLANOVA

1584497571131.png
 
One thing to note about What-If is they too play deep benches in their simulation -- basically equalize minutes played too the season, and they don't shorten the bench in a close game apparently. Not sure if that helps Syracuse in simulations or not.

I do edit the depth chart for Syracuse slightly as they give Carey and Braswell 3 and 4 minutes each of regular rotation time. They can play garbage time however.
 
#10 Syracuse 87, #7 Michigan 77

Syracuse continues its magical March run, winning the ACC conference tourney then beating Michigan by 10. Syracuse was led by Marek Dolezaj, who continued to build off his MOP performance in the ACC tourney. Maybe the comparisons to Keith Van Horn were real :p

Elijah Hughes was solid. Sidibe/Guerrier combined for a beastly 22 rebounds in 45 minutes, as Syracuse surprisingly won the rebound battle 39-29.

Michigan was up 4 with 15 minutes left in the second half, Syracuse took the lead with 14 minutes left in the second half, and steadily grew the lead and did not feel too much stress in the last five minutes of the game.

View attachment 178240

View attachment 178241:p

UP NEXT = VILLANOVA

View attachment 178243
Rob Braswell gave up his redshirt for the team in the tournament.
Virtual Boeheim goes 11 deep. I am sure the last 2 minutes were garbage time.
 
#12 Yale 81, #5 Ohio St 80

Well here we go with the first 5-12 upset of this tournament, and the biggest upset in the 10 games played so fair in the first round.

Game was not quite as the score. Yale was up 6 with 19 seconds left, and Ohio St hit a three at the buzzer to close the game from 4 to 1.
1584500882090.png



1584500754796.png


1584500793501.png
 
Here is how the Indy regional is playing out at the end of day 1 of the round of 64.

1584501011753.png
 
#3 Michigan St 73, #14 Ball St 67

The game was tied with 9:48 left, but then Michigan St got a lead of around 5 shortly thereafter and maintained that margin or more the rest of the way.

1584539638776.png


1584539809512.png
 
#11 Xavier beats #6 Houston

Xavier is the 5th Big East team to move on to the second round (only one team lost in the first). This has been the best tourney performance since the inception of the new Big East.

1584540180368.png


1584540213689.png
 
#16 UCSB 76, #1 Kansas 75

Bill Self strikes again! This is the second #1 seed to get tested (out of 2 games), but this time the #1 did not survive.

Here is the ending sequence. UCSB had a shot for the win, missed, got the offensive board, and scored at the buzzer. Upset complete.

1584541459023.png




1584541301086.png


1584541394790.png
 
After the second day of first round games, the Ind Regional stands as follows.
After the shocking Kansas loss, Kentucky now has a clearer path to the Elite 8 than expected, but Yale and likelyColorado will not be gimmes.

1584542600602.png
 
Nope. Kansas is not going to lose to #16 seed in real world. In fantacy world, maybe.

I just took the first run per the simulation from "what if sports", for every game. Didn't want to reverse specific results and then skew it with my biases. I agree its unlikely and could be a flaw in the simulation tool.

Seems the real upsets have been really limited so far, this is the only 13-16 that won, so I will let it fly.
If the end results are bad, we were expecting a wacky tournament anyway!!
 
Midway though Round 2 Saturday, the second round has been very much chalk, with all 5 games so fair having seeds 1-4 advance to the sweet 16. Let's see if that chacnes.

1584587555532.png
 

Forum statistics

Threads
175,195
Messages
5,335,883
Members
6,230
Latest member
Kanny

Online statistics

Members online
337
Guests online
12,945
Total visitors
13,282


Top Bottom