It’s frustrating that there is talk of only 3 or 4 teams getting in, forget the metrics. The ACC has consistently had teams over perform in the NCAA Tourney in recent years. It sucks because I think as a coach you want your team to improve as the year goes on and especially recently that has been a major characteristic of ACC teams, but it hurts the national perception of the conference when it comes to selecting teams. There is a lot of teams that have been consistently good, but are essentially performing at the same level now than they were at the beginning of November. These teams won’t rise to the next level and be out in the first weekend, along with the teams that they lost too in conference play that got in because they beat a team that was elite in November.
Yeah that’s certainly something that hopefully will work itself out by March. There a consensus 3 seed atm while we are on the outside looking in. Though if we looked at these resumes blind. Maybe Auburn gets the edge over us, but is the difference really a 3 seed vs outside the field.
Auburn has a big edge over us right now. They have beaten better teams than SU has (Va Tech by 17, Ole Miss by 23 and Texas A&M by 11). They have won six Quad 2 games and are blowing out opponents in those contests (Indiana by 28, Arkansas by 32 and St Bonaventure by 17. They are 4-1 at neutral sites losing by six to Baylor. Their only two SEC losses came on the road by four to Alabama and by six at Mississippi St. and those defeats are more impressive than our only road victories at Pitt by 11 and Georgetown by 12. The regular season has six weeks to go and Syracuse can do a lot to improve its current NET ranking, but there is a big difference between the two teams overall records right now. Go Cuse!
We will see with Virginia Tech as we play them later though at home. Texas A&M is a solid win, though this was at home. Speaking of Texas A&M, they split there series with LSU. Ole Miss also lost to LSU on the road. Margin of victory shouldn’t matter at all when selecting teams for the tourney though it appears that this is part of the NET formula. Does a team advance to the sweet 16 when they lost there round of 32 game by 2 points after winning the first round game by 50 points?
It sucks a lot because there is so much more to an individual game than the margin.
Something can be operating as it was designed, but it can also be inherently flawed. The way I looked at it, the officials benefited the most since they can sleep at night knowing that both teams benefited from the game in terms of metrics lol. It’s for the better of the sport to advocate the emphasis on wins and losses. Though this is much easier said than done given a mid major record and power conference record are different.
Schedule adjusted Margin of Victory predicted well, againAre we not upset with Kenpom and NET anymore?
Anyway, here's a couple of interesting sites and things I've stumbled across via Reddit:
An opensource KenPom of sorts:
Some nice pages here in there: 1) current Efficiency rankings, 2) final record prediction chart (SU most likely finish is ~17-14, 10th in ACC), 3) upcoming game predictions (SU 81, Louisville 69 [nice]).
Spaghetti chart showing ACC movement in KenPom over the season. No real big surprises here. Syracuse had a nice heater for a while.
