SWC75
Bored Historian
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Take all the positives: points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks and subtract the negatives: missed field goals, miss free throws, turnovers and fouls. The result is “Net Points.” (NP). M = minutes.
Michael Carter-Williams +19NP in 38M season: +547NP in 1337M per 40M: +16.4NP
James Southerland +12NP in 33M season: +408NP in 929M per 40M: +17.6NP
CJ Fair +11NP in 38M season: +534NP in 1317M per 40M: +16.2NP
Brandon Triche +6NP in 38M season: +363NP in 1277M per 40M: +11.4NP
Jerami Grant +5NP in 9M season: +137NP in 543M per 40M: +10.1NP
Baye Moussa Keita +5NP in 31M season: +188NP in 636M per 40M: +11.8NP
Trevor Cooney 0NP in 4M season: +64NP in 423M per 40M: +6.1NP
DaJuan Coleman 0NP in 0M season: +95NP in 305M per 40M: +12.5NP
Rakeem Christmas -3NP in 9M season: +244NP in 806M per 40M: +12.1NP
Comment: Baye Keita’s contributions were not measured by numbers. With a cut over his eye and a wrap around his wrist, he took on a 7 foot all-American center and didn’t back down, causing him to miss 8 of 11 shots. It was as big a contribution as anyone’s, including MCW, who had his best game of the year. But even his numbers were deceiving because he had only one assist. Indiana decided to take away our shooters so Mike and Brandon had to look to score themselves and they did, out-scoring Indiana’s starting backcourt by an incredible 38-0.
CJ Fair has led in “net points” 12 times, Michael Carter-Williams 11 times, James Southerland 9 times, Brandon Triche 8 times, Jerami Grant, Trevor Cooney and Baye Moussa Keita once each, (including ties).
Shooting Breakdown:
SU was 17/37, (.459) from inside the arc, 4/11 from outside, (.364) and 15/20 from the line (.750). Indiana was 13/33 (.394) from inside the arc, 3/15, (.200) from outside, (our opponents are 11 for 67 in the tournament, .164) and 15/24, (.625) from the line. If you maintain the number of attempts but reverse the percentages, we score 49 points and they score 63 points. If we shot what our opponents shot in every game this year, we’d be 15-23, not 29-9. Put the ball in the basket!
For the season we are .487/.338/.677 and our opponents are .428/.289/.675. (Last year’s team was .520 from two point range. The 2010 team was .571.) 4 of our 21 baskets were assisted, (19%), vs.9 of Indiana‘s 16, (56%). When I did a study of basketball stats as they relate to winning a few years back, I found that % of baskets assisted had the worst correlation. That was certainly true in this game.
Thanks to Blacksquirrels and Knicks411, I now understand how to compute “points per possession, (field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted) and here they are:
Syracuse: 48 FGA minus 8 offensive rebounds plus 14 turnovers plus 47.5% of 20 free throws = 63.5 possessions. The possessions can’t be more than one off so I’ll call that 64 possessions in which we scored 61 points or 0.953 points per possession. We are 1.073 on the season. Last season it was 1.126.
Indiana: 48-12+19 plus 47.5% of 24 = 66.4 possessions. Let’s call that 65 possessions, (so we won’t be more than one off) in which they scored 50 points or 0.769 points per possession. The opposition is 0.893 on the season. Last season it was 0.830.
POP: I’ll credit the Axeman for naming this. A common stat is “points in the paint”. But what about the points outside the paint? The game gets a lot harder if you have to plow through the defense to get to the basket to score. Jump shots, (and not just three pointers), are an important part of any team’s offense. You can’t rely on them too much as they are the most inconsistent part of the game but you have to have the capacity to score over the defense or else you are likely to struggle. The formula is simple: Total points minus points in the paint minus free throws.
We scored 61 points, 30 in the paint and 15 from the foul line. Thus we had 16 POP or 26% of our points. Indiana had 11POP, or 22%. We averaged 28 POP last year, 33% of our points. So far this year we are averaging 24 POP, 33% of our scoring. We’ve averaged 26 POP at the Dome and 22 away from it. Our opponents have averaged 24 POP, but that’s been 40% of their scoring.
The “Offensive Dude of the Game”, (points + assists) was Michael Carter-Williams, with 24 points and 1 assists for a total of 25. So far the following players have been “Offensive Dudes”: Michael Carter-Williams (14), CJ Fair (11) Brandon Triche (9) and James Southerland (6).
I decided it should be a goal to score at least 15 points in every 10 minute “quarter” of the game, (college is the only level that doesn’t have quarters). You want to score more than that, of course, but if we can avoid falling under 15 in any ten minute period we should have a good scoring average because we’ll have 20 and 25 point quarters as well. The “quarterly” splits in this game were 14-5, 20-17, 12-15, 15-13. (California had scored 29 points in the last quarter of last week’s game).
For the year, the average score per quarter is 16-14, 18-12, 18-15, 19-18. Last year the averages per quarter were: 15-14, 19-12, 18-17, 21-18. We’ve missed the 15 point mark 44 times in 152 quarters this year, and lost 43.
For fun I’ve decided to add another stat. We picked up the tradition of standing and clapping before SU’s first basket of each half from New Mexico after one of Coach Boeheim’s favorite early victories back in the 70’s. I wondered which player had done the best job of “sitting us down”: who scored the first field goal of each half? I decided to include road games.
Brandon Triche sat us down in both halves. CJ Fair has “sat us down” 20 times, Brandon Triche and Rakeem Christmas 14 times, Michael Carter-Williams 13 times, DaJuan Coleman 6 times, James Southerland 4 times, Jerami Grant 2 times and Baye Moussa Keita, and Trevor Cooney 1 time each.
Possession:
It appeared we got every rebound in the place but we didn’t.
Syracuse had 8 offensive and 25 defensive rebounds Indiana had 12 offensive and 22 defensive rebounds. That means that when we missed, we got the rebound 27% of the time. When they missed, they got the rebound 32% of the time. For the year we have rebounded 39% of our misses and the opposition have rebounded 34% of theirs. We’ve out-rebounded 23 of 38 opponents by this measure.
Indiana had 19 turnovers, of which 12 were Syracuse steals, (63%). Syracuse had 14 turnovers of which 5 were Indiana steals, (36%). We had 52 “manufactured” possessions, (our rebounds + their turnovers). Indiana had 48. We have won this battle 24 times in 38 games, with two games even. We’ve averaged 7 more MP’s per game, +4 in Big East games. Gaining and retaining possession has not been a big issue, overall.
The Centers
I think our tandem of centers should get a total of at least 20 points + rebounds + blocks per game. They are averaging 26 on the season but only 18 in Big East games. In the Indiana game Rakeem Christmas had 0 points, 0 rebounds and 1 blocks while Baye Moussa Keita had 3 points, 3 rebounds and 3 blocks, DaJuan Coleman had 0 points, 0 rebounds and 0 blocks for a total of 10, We’ve failed to reach 20 12 times, 11l in the 22 conference games. Christmas has contributed the most 20 times, Keita 14 times and Coleman 6 with 2 ties. This was one game where the stats are deceiving. Keita did yeoman work challenging Cody Zeller. That showed up in Zeller’s numbers, (3 for 11 from the field).
“My Man”
Casey Stengel was once asked the secret of his success with the Yankees. He said “I never play a game without my man.” He didn’t explain but the reporter noticed that Yogi Berra was always in the line up somewhere, even when he wasn’t catching. Casey didn’t want to play a game without him. I decided to keep track of which players played the most minutes in each game to see which player, (or players) were Jim Boeheim’s “man”.
Michael Carter- Williams, CJ Fair and Brandon Triche all played 38 minutes in this game. Michael Carter-Williams has led in minutes played 19 times, CJ Fair 15 times, Brandon Triche 13 times Jerami Grant twice and James Southerland , (this includes ties).
Michael Carter-Williams +19NP in 38M season: +547NP in 1337M per 40M: +16.4NP
James Southerland +12NP in 33M season: +408NP in 929M per 40M: +17.6NP
CJ Fair +11NP in 38M season: +534NP in 1317M per 40M: +16.2NP
Brandon Triche +6NP in 38M season: +363NP in 1277M per 40M: +11.4NP
Jerami Grant +5NP in 9M season: +137NP in 543M per 40M: +10.1NP
Baye Moussa Keita +5NP in 31M season: +188NP in 636M per 40M: +11.8NP
Trevor Cooney 0NP in 4M season: +64NP in 423M per 40M: +6.1NP
DaJuan Coleman 0NP in 0M season: +95NP in 305M per 40M: +12.5NP
Rakeem Christmas -3NP in 9M season: +244NP in 806M per 40M: +12.1NP
Comment: Baye Keita’s contributions were not measured by numbers. With a cut over his eye and a wrap around his wrist, he took on a 7 foot all-American center and didn’t back down, causing him to miss 8 of 11 shots. It was as big a contribution as anyone’s, including MCW, who had his best game of the year. But even his numbers were deceiving because he had only one assist. Indiana decided to take away our shooters so Mike and Brandon had to look to score themselves and they did, out-scoring Indiana’s starting backcourt by an incredible 38-0.
CJ Fair has led in “net points” 12 times, Michael Carter-Williams 11 times, James Southerland 9 times, Brandon Triche 8 times, Jerami Grant, Trevor Cooney and Baye Moussa Keita once each, (including ties).
Shooting Breakdown:
SU was 17/37, (.459) from inside the arc, 4/11 from outside, (.364) and 15/20 from the line (.750). Indiana was 13/33 (.394) from inside the arc, 3/15, (.200) from outside, (our opponents are 11 for 67 in the tournament, .164) and 15/24, (.625) from the line. If you maintain the number of attempts but reverse the percentages, we score 49 points and they score 63 points. If we shot what our opponents shot in every game this year, we’d be 15-23, not 29-9. Put the ball in the basket!
For the season we are .487/.338/.677 and our opponents are .428/.289/.675. (Last year’s team was .520 from two point range. The 2010 team was .571.) 4 of our 21 baskets were assisted, (19%), vs.9 of Indiana‘s 16, (56%). When I did a study of basketball stats as they relate to winning a few years back, I found that % of baskets assisted had the worst correlation. That was certainly true in this game.
Thanks to Blacksquirrels and Knicks411, I now understand how to compute “points per possession, (field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted) and here they are:
Syracuse: 48 FGA minus 8 offensive rebounds plus 14 turnovers plus 47.5% of 20 free throws = 63.5 possessions. The possessions can’t be more than one off so I’ll call that 64 possessions in which we scored 61 points or 0.953 points per possession. We are 1.073 on the season. Last season it was 1.126.
Indiana: 48-12+19 plus 47.5% of 24 = 66.4 possessions. Let’s call that 65 possessions, (so we won’t be more than one off) in which they scored 50 points or 0.769 points per possession. The opposition is 0.893 on the season. Last season it was 0.830.
POP: I’ll credit the Axeman for naming this. A common stat is “points in the paint”. But what about the points outside the paint? The game gets a lot harder if you have to plow through the defense to get to the basket to score. Jump shots, (and not just three pointers), are an important part of any team’s offense. You can’t rely on them too much as they are the most inconsistent part of the game but you have to have the capacity to score over the defense or else you are likely to struggle. The formula is simple: Total points minus points in the paint minus free throws.
We scored 61 points, 30 in the paint and 15 from the foul line. Thus we had 16 POP or 26% of our points. Indiana had 11POP, or 22%. We averaged 28 POP last year, 33% of our points. So far this year we are averaging 24 POP, 33% of our scoring. We’ve averaged 26 POP at the Dome and 22 away from it. Our opponents have averaged 24 POP, but that’s been 40% of their scoring.
The “Offensive Dude of the Game”, (points + assists) was Michael Carter-Williams, with 24 points and 1 assists for a total of 25. So far the following players have been “Offensive Dudes”: Michael Carter-Williams (14), CJ Fair (11) Brandon Triche (9) and James Southerland (6).
I decided it should be a goal to score at least 15 points in every 10 minute “quarter” of the game, (college is the only level that doesn’t have quarters). You want to score more than that, of course, but if we can avoid falling under 15 in any ten minute period we should have a good scoring average because we’ll have 20 and 25 point quarters as well. The “quarterly” splits in this game were 14-5, 20-17, 12-15, 15-13. (California had scored 29 points in the last quarter of last week’s game).
For the year, the average score per quarter is 16-14, 18-12, 18-15, 19-18. Last year the averages per quarter were: 15-14, 19-12, 18-17, 21-18. We’ve missed the 15 point mark 44 times in 152 quarters this year, and lost 43.
For fun I’ve decided to add another stat. We picked up the tradition of standing and clapping before SU’s first basket of each half from New Mexico after one of Coach Boeheim’s favorite early victories back in the 70’s. I wondered which player had done the best job of “sitting us down”: who scored the first field goal of each half? I decided to include road games.
Brandon Triche sat us down in both halves. CJ Fair has “sat us down” 20 times, Brandon Triche and Rakeem Christmas 14 times, Michael Carter-Williams 13 times, DaJuan Coleman 6 times, James Southerland 4 times, Jerami Grant 2 times and Baye Moussa Keita, and Trevor Cooney 1 time each.
Possession:
It appeared we got every rebound in the place but we didn’t.
Syracuse had 8 offensive and 25 defensive rebounds Indiana had 12 offensive and 22 defensive rebounds. That means that when we missed, we got the rebound 27% of the time. When they missed, they got the rebound 32% of the time. For the year we have rebounded 39% of our misses and the opposition have rebounded 34% of theirs. We’ve out-rebounded 23 of 38 opponents by this measure.
Indiana had 19 turnovers, of which 12 were Syracuse steals, (63%). Syracuse had 14 turnovers of which 5 were Indiana steals, (36%). We had 52 “manufactured” possessions, (our rebounds + their turnovers). Indiana had 48. We have won this battle 24 times in 38 games, with two games even. We’ve averaged 7 more MP’s per game, +4 in Big East games. Gaining and retaining possession has not been a big issue, overall.
The Centers
I think our tandem of centers should get a total of at least 20 points + rebounds + blocks per game. They are averaging 26 on the season but only 18 in Big East games. In the Indiana game Rakeem Christmas had 0 points, 0 rebounds and 1 blocks while Baye Moussa Keita had 3 points, 3 rebounds and 3 blocks, DaJuan Coleman had 0 points, 0 rebounds and 0 blocks for a total of 10, We’ve failed to reach 20 12 times, 11l in the 22 conference games. Christmas has contributed the most 20 times, Keita 14 times and Coleman 6 with 2 ties. This was one game where the stats are deceiving. Keita did yeoman work challenging Cody Zeller. That showed up in Zeller’s numbers, (3 for 11 from the field).
“My Man”
Casey Stengel was once asked the secret of his success with the Yankees. He said “I never play a game without my man.” He didn’t explain but the reporter noticed that Yogi Berra was always in the line up somewhere, even when he wasn’t catching. Casey didn’t want to play a game without him. I decided to keep track of which players played the most minutes in each game to see which player, (or players) were Jim Boeheim’s “man”.
Michael Carter- Williams, CJ Fair and Brandon Triche all played 38 minutes in this game. Michael Carter-Williams has led in minutes played 19 times, CJ Fair 15 times, Brandon Triche 13 times Jerami Grant twice and James Southerland , (this includes ties).