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Message: [QUOTE="javadoc, post: 175774, member: 338"] My estimate is based solely on how I expect our program to improve, given the reality of where we are. 1 win per year from starting point. So at 4-8 in Marrone's first year, I would expect 7-5 this year. Doesn't matter who we are playing (within reason). We overachieved by 2 games the 2nd year, for understandable reasons. We underachieved this year by 1 game, for understandable reasons. Expected 8-4 in year 5, rebuild of foundations is complete, and it's time to see where the ceiling is. For next year, taking a WAG: Stony Brook: Win Minnesota: Win NW: Push U$C: Loss UConn: Win Rutgers: Win Pitt: Push Cincy: Push USF: Push Louisville: Push I've got 4 wins, with 2 games yet to be announced - hopefully both are win-types. [/QUOTE]