OT: Lunardi's Bracketology | Syracusefan.com

OT: Lunardi's Bracketology

orangeinohio

2023 Cali Award Participant
Joined
Aug 29, 2011
Messages
7,122
Like
9,370
Has anyone (on this board or elsewhere) ever checked to see how Joe Lunardi's annual bracketology matches up versus the actual brackets?

Accurately predicting the seedings it tough but predicting regions and matchups correctly has got to be hard as hell.

I wouldn't mind if his current predictions hold - first round vs. Boston University; second round vs the winner of Ohio State/Xavier - but it doesn't seem very likely.
 
From http://theclassical.org/articles/the-lunardi-problem

Does it bug me that Lunardi makes a big fuss about his success rate picking the teams that get into the NCAA tournament, even though it’s not that hard? There are 31 automatic bids, easily another 30 that can be plucked from the various rankings, another 30 that enjoy overwhelming odds of getting in, and maybe three or four remaining wild cards. In essence, Joey Buckets is spotted 64 teams with four slots to fill. In 2012, he missed one, in 2011 he missed three, but in 2008, as we’ve been told, he nailed the entire field. It's up to you what the statute of forcastication is and whether access to it is worth your hard-earned dollars.
 
He always puts out a final about an hour before the selection show. By then anyone can call it. He measures himself on:
1. how many of the 68 teams did he have selected (by then its not difficult)
2. how many were within 1 seed line variance of what he predicted (also not that tough)
3. he does not measure geographic placement accuracy.
 

Similar threads

    • Like
Orangeyes Daily Articles for Wednesday for Basketball
Replies
8
Views
599
Replies
2
Views
602
Replies
9
Views
688
Replies
6
Views
480
    • Like
Orangeyes Daily Articles for Thursday for Football
Replies
11
Views
554

Forum statistics

Threads
167,885
Messages
4,735,309
Members
5,930
Latest member
CuseGuy44

Online statistics

Members online
216
Guests online
1,367
Total visitors
1,583


Top Bottom