Taller, poor man’s TJ McConnell? Look, I just think our fans inflate nearly ALL of our recruits until they get here and stink.
I think you're kind of missing the point.
When a kid is in 10th grade, 11th grade, recruiters start hovering. Who a kid looks like as a 10th grader might be impacted by him simply maturing early compared to other kids his age.
So, talent evaluators look for skills compared to the usual profile for a person of that size, and the more ball skills, shooting skills, passing skills they have compared to their height profile, that's a big part of the ratings. It's a projection off into the future. It's not about who is most ready to dominate next fall for their college team
There was once a guy name Schea Cotton who was a phenom in 10th grade, an all american. Mostly because he had already filled out into a body like Paul Harris had in college. But he never developed the offensive skills to extend his game beyond bully-ball, and it didn't work out for him.
So, with that in mind, a player like Donnie Freeman looks like he has the potential to become the next Kevin Durant, in terms of body type and offensive skills for his size. But he's not tough enough. That's why he underwhelmed before his team shut it down for the year.
For a HS kid to come in and dominate as a freshman in college, he has to be built like a man. He already has to be big and strong, and able to overpower college players who are older than him. Not many guys can do that.
So, to sum up, I understand your point about over-rating our own players. But you have to balance long-term projection with short term contribution.
Petar, for instance, was a useful piece this year. Not a star, not a starter, but he got better with more playing time. Lots of these guys are like that, if they have their heads on straight.
More players than you might think have had their heads turned by social media, family and handlers. They think the number of followers they have on Twitter or Instagram correlates to their NBA prospects. Their heads are already messed up, for many, before they ever get to college, and then they find out where their skill level really is. That's how it works.