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[QUOTE="fieldystick, post: 4222095, member: 8152"]
I think 3. But outside of Virginia, who knows with these teams. I can easily foresee a scenario where literally every ACC team aside from Virginia is right around the cut line.

There's still a ton of variables - particularly with who gets the AQs in the Ivy League and Big East (and I guess maybe also the Big Ten... but ain't nobody beating Maryland), my current guess is:

Ivy League - 4 teams (AQ + 3)
Big Ten - 3 teams (AQ + 2)
ACC - 3 teams

as the eight at-larges. Denver winning out and then losing the Big East championship game to Georgetown (possible Denver at-large) or Georgetown not getting the Big East AQ period (very likely Georgetown at-large), is the most likely scenario that I see where an at-large comes from outside these three conferences.

I usually don't post my own bracket stuff because I feel like I'm self promoting, but anyway... take a look at the teams listed below in the bubble range - and then add in Harvard & Notre Dame and remove Jacksonville (they have no chance for an at-large come May), and I think those are the teams that we're really discussing.

As always, I'm happy to (try to) answer anyone's questions about Syracuse's or anyone else's NCAA chances as we head into April. But I really do things are quite simple for 'Cuse this year unless they end up at .500.

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