Predict Cuse Nova line

[jncuse]

Syracuse -5 1/2 The game would not be a pick on a neutral court.

It would be a pick em game on a neutral court. Based on observations over the years, Vegas uses a ranking system close to KenPom, which is why the opening lines almost always are close to the same.

Right now Nova is -0.5 on Neutral per KenPom, so the opening line would be about Syracuse -3 at home.

As for Sagarin, they have some variances from a system like KP, and as I said above the Vegas line tend to closely follow KP. The line will not open anywhere close to Nova -1.

 

[dasher]

FWIW, Sagarin would put 'Nova as about a 1 point favorite.

http://sagarin.com/sports/cbsend.htm

Current rating has Nova at 91.20 (#3), SU at 86.50 (#24), a difference of 4.70. He calcs home advantage as 3.79. Net equals 0.91.

FWIW.

It's not worth much. They want to get the action equal on both sides. Nova -1 would have way too much action on syracuse.

 

[690West]

It would be a pick em game on a neutral court. Based on observations over the years, Vegas uses a ranking system close to KenPom, which is why the opening lines almost always are close to the same.

Right now Nova is -0.5 on Neutral per KenPom, so the opening line would be about Syracuse -3 at home.

As for Sagarin, they have some variances from a system like KP, and as I said above the Vegas line tend to closely follow KP. The line will not open anywhere close to Nova -1.

Vegas also follows sagarins predictor column very closely too. KP and Sagarin