I think it starts at -3 and closes at -5Cuse -3 because we're home.
That's about what I was thinking.I think it starts at -3 and closes at -5
Cuse -5
most of those games we weren't as good as we are now.I'm a fan with my heart but I bet with my head. If it's Cuse -5, I'd take 'Nova. Jay Wright is 11-7 as the 'Nova coach all-time vs SU, and he's undefeated with a nice squad.
most of those games we weren't as good as we are now.
they were ranked about as high as us in 2010 when we spanked them.
Well my wallets talking and I'd take Cuse by 8+.Not saying 'Nova will win, but 5 points seems like a lot to give them. Not saying that's a lock, either. Just that 5 points looks better than 50/50 for 'Nova. Hope we win by 15, but that's my heart talking.
Not saying 'Nova will win, but 5 points seems like a lot to give them. Not saying that's a lock, either. Just that 5 points looks better than 50/50 for 'Nova. Hope we win by 15, but that's my heart talking.
Sagarin is an idiot. His math makes no sense .FWIW, Sagarin would put 'Nova as about a 1 point favorite.
http://sagarin.com/sports/cbsend.htm
Current rating has Nova at 91.20 (#3), SU at 86.50 (#24), a difference of 4.70. He calcs home advantage as 3.79. Net equals 0.91.
FWIW.
Sagarin is an idiot.
This early in the year Sagarin doesn't mean much. Small anomalies, time walk ons play, rotations being worked out can't be taken into account. It's not a bad system as the year goes on but this time of year its not close. I'd say the line ends up about cuse -5.Possibly. But he uses time-tested statistical methodologies only, with no human judgment. Early on it's a little wacky, but we're not that early on anymore.
He does have us #1 in the "pure_elo" methodology, which is like a chess rating, which is what counts for rankings and championships. The other methodologies are for wagering. We're #25 and #30 in those.
We'll see.
Wow the #2 team an underdog at home.Think it opens at -4.
Public goes on Cuse.
Goes to -2.5 by tip.
Wow the #2 team an underdog at home.
I don't have it backwards. If the public "goes on Cuse"and drops it to -2.5 from -4 Cuse would be the underdog. Truse me I've done this before. "Going on Cuse" would mean betting they cover.That -2.5 or -4 is not an underdog. You have it backwards. No way I would take SU as an 8 point favorite if it was that. That's betting with your heart which is foolish.
most of those games we weren't as good as we are now.
Find me a bookie that will give SU+1 at the dome and then we can talkFWIW, Sagarin would put 'Nova as about a 1 point favorite.
http://sagarin.com/sports/cbsend.htm
Current rating has Nova at 91.20 (#3), SU at 86.50 (#24), a difference of 4.70. He calcs home advantage as 3.79. Net equals 0.91.
FWIW.
What do the cappers give for a standard for being at home in NCAAMB? I only know that football is -3. Im drinking rolling rock and molson.