Random Notre Dame Thoughts | Syracusefan.com

Random Notre Dame Thoughts

Niastri

Two Time Iggy Award Winner: Edwards for Three!
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Notre Dame isn't as bad as everybody seems to think. Ranked 85th by the NET, 79th by SRS and 81 by Pomeroy. A team you expect to beat, but it isn't like ND is one of the real dregs of the ACC. They also have 4 top100 recruits, freshman and sophomores all... Including 6'7 220lb Jalen Haralson, the 17th RSCI rated freshman this year. Markus Burton is better, a tiny guard who can't shoot the three, but is shooting .557 from 2pt range despite being listed at 5'11. Haralson and Burton score 15 and 18 respectively, and that is a lot considering ND takes about 58 shots per game and averages 74ppg (243rd in the country). Notably, Burton didn't play against Syracuse.

In their best win of the season so far, ND beat Jamie Dixon coached TCU (54 in the NET today) on the road.

So, it was either very brave or very stupid for Red to bench his best player before a game that literally could be the difference between losing his job or not. Aside from the silly/funny REDemption thread, the fanbase is starting to consider a coaching change a foregone conclusion at the end of the season (if not sooner).

A lot of the game thread for this game, at least early, was about how stupid it was to bench Freeman. Some even implied it was for show, or a psychological gambit. One poster said "Red is daring them to fire him!" But not disciplining your best player is a good way to lose the team for the third season in a row. The quotes after the game indicated it wasn't a discipline issue, but a "matchup" issue. Whatever happened, they didn't control the narrative very well.

On the other hand, Freeman said all the right things. In fact, he managed to sound like he was happy to be taken out of the starting lineup.


Whatever the reasoning, Syracuse played a much better game than they had been playing. They held ND below their season average, holding them to 3.6 shots fewer than their average this season. Syracuse shot a few less shots, ND keeps pace low. But we increased our TS% .99 above our season average.

Several players had terrific games in Freeman's absence. Starling went 7-7 in the first half, including 3-3 from 3pt range. He cooled down in the second half, but still ended the game with 21 points on 9-13 shooting and had 5 assists to 0 turnovers. Was Starling's hot start a result of Freeman being out?

Kingz was even better, 11-17 for 28 points, including 5-10 from 3pt range. Did Kingz shoot more because Freeman was on the bench? He actually started slow, only 2-5 in the first half, but 9-12 in the second, including 5 made layups.

George, who has gotten some criticism for his loose passing leading to TO lately, was credited with 10 assists to 0 TO as well. ND doesn't try to steal the ball, so you pretty much have to pass it right to them to get a turnover, but George was actually doing that a bunch lately. It was nice to have him find his targets.

Freeman, predictably, had his worst game since his return from injury. Hopefully whatever message Red was sending to the team was received?

Syracuse beat ND on the boards, by 6, and Freeman had 6 rebounds in his abbreviated minutes. With no Souare, White and Freeman both got to 4 fouls, and Kyle playing well was necessary. Kyle delivered good defense and enough rebounding to win that battle.

In the end, this game did look like a get right game for the team, against a decent opponent.

My thought is that we are definitely not a better team with Freeman missing, he is clearly our most talented player. But maybe he learned something about playing in the team concept that he had been missing? Freeman, in particular, seems to come and go in his defensive intensity. He blocked shots in his first six games of the year, including recording 3 against Georgia Tech. Since then, he blocked one shot the next 6 games, including four in a row in losses with no blocks. Perhaps Red wanted to remind him to play good defense?

We expected to have a very difficult time winning more than 6 games in this brutal 12 game stretch against top NET teams. right now we are 1-3 in that 12 game stretch. If we get very hot, we still could get back to even, or conceivably get above .500 in those 12 games. A victory tonight with an invigorated Freeman might be a strong sign we can accomplish it.

As is often said during baseball season "It's nothing a 10 game winning streak won't take care of..."
 
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Notre Dame isn't as bad as everybody seems to think. Ranked 85th by the NET, 79th by SRS and 81 by Pomeroy. A team you expect to beat, but it isn't like ND is one of the real dregs of the ACC. They also have 4 top100 recruits, freshman and sophomores all... Including 6'7 220lb Jalen Haralson, the 17th RSCI rated freshman this year. Markus Burton is better, a tiny guard who can't shoot the three, but is shooting .557 from 2pt range despite being listed at 5'11. Haralson and Burton score 15 and 18 respectively, and that is a lot considering ND takes about 58 shots per game and averages 74ppg (243rd in the country). Notably, Burton didn't play against Syracuse.

In their best win of the season so far, ND beat Jamie Dixon coached TCU (54 in the NET today) on the road.

So, it was either very brave or very stupid for Red to bench his best player before a game that literally could be the difference between losing his job or not. Aside from the silly/funny REDemption thread, the fanbase is starting to consider a coaching change a foregone conclusion at the end of the season (if not sooner).

A lot of the game thread for this game, at least early, was about how stupid it was to bench Freeman. Some even implied it was for show, or a psychological gambit. One poster said "Red is daring them to fire him!" But not disciplining your best player is a good way to lose the team for the third season in a row. The quotes after the game indicated it wasn't a discipline issue, but a "matchup" issue. Whatever happened, they didn't control the narrative very well.

On the other hand, Freeman said all the right things. In fact, he managed to sound like he was happy to be taken out of the starting lineup.


Whatever the reasoning, Syracuse played a much better game than they had been playing. They held ND below their season average, holding them to 3.6 shots fewer than their average this season. Syracuse shot a few less shots, ND keeps pace low. But we increased our TS% .99 above our season average.

Several players had terrific games in Freeman's absence. Starling went 7-7 in the first half, including 3-3 from 3pt range. He cooled down in the second half, but still ended the game with 21 points on 9-13 shooting and had 5 assists to 0 turnovers. Was Starling's hot start a result of Freeman being out?

Kingz was even better, 11-17 for 28 points, including 5-10 from 3pt range. Did Kingz shoot more because Freeman was on the bench? He actually started slow, only 2-5 in the first half, but 9-12 in the second, including 5 made layups.

George, who has gotten some criticism for his loose passing leading to TO lately, was credited with 10 assists to 0 TO as well. ND doesn't try to steal the ball, so you pretty much have to pass it right to them to get a turnover, but George was actually doing that a bunch lately. It was nice to have him find his targets.

Freeman, predictably, had his worst game since his return from injury. Hopefully whatever message Red was sending to the team was received?

Syracuse beat ND on the boards, by 6, and Freeman had 6 rebounds in his abbreviated minutes. With no Souare, White and Freeman both got to 4 fouls, and Kyle playing well was necessary. Kyle delivered good defense and enough rebounding to win that battle.

In the end, this game did look like a get right game for the team, against a decent opponent.

My thought is that we are definitely not a better team with Freeman missing, he is clearly our most talented player. But maybe he learned something about playing in the team concept that he had been missing? Freeman, in particular, seems to come and go in his defensive intensity. He blocked shots in his first six games of the year, including recording 3 against Georgia Tech. Since then, he blocked one shot the next 6 games, including four in a row in losses with no blocks. Perhaps Red wanted to remind him to play good defense?

We expected to have a very difficult time winning more than 6 games in this brutal 12 game stretch against top NET teams. right now we are 1-3 in that 12 game stretch. If we get very hot, we still could get back to even, or conceivably get above .500 in those 12 games. A victory tonight with an invigorated Freeman might be a strong sign we can accomplish it.

As is often said during baseball season "It's nothing a 10 game winning streak won't take care of..."
Great recap, as always. This was a strange game in that there was a lot of good but also some concerns. Really happy to see the offense humming but we've got to get Donnie back to playing well, beginning tonight. It was interesting to see Kiyan sit all of the 2nd half. I think that was a good move to send a message, hopefully it will be received. Watching Kingz do his thing, I really like him at the 2 which allows more minutes for Betsey.
 
Notre Dame isn't as bad as everybody seems to think. Ranked 85th by the NET, 79th by SRS and 81 by Pomeroy. A team you expect to beat, but it isn't like ND is one of the real dregs of the ACC. They also have 4 top100 recruits, freshman and sophomores all... Including 6'7 220lb Jalen Haralson, the 17th RSCI rated freshman this year. Markus Burton is better, a tiny guard who can't shoot the three, but is shooting .557 from 2pt range despite being listed at 5'11. Haralson and Burton score 15 and 18 respectively, and that is a lot considering ND takes about 58 shots per game and averages 74ppg (243rd in the country). Notably, Burton didn't play against Syracuse.

In their best win of the season so far, ND beat Jamie Dixon coached TCU (54 in the NET today) on the road.

So, it was either very brave or very stupid for Red to bench his best player before a game that literally could be the difference between losing his job or not. Aside from the silly/funny REDemption thread, the fanbase is starting to consider a coaching change a foregone conclusion at the end of the season (if not sooner).

A lot of the game thread for this game, at least early, was about how stupid it was to bench Freeman. Some even implied it was for show, or a psychological gambit. One poster said "Red is daring them to fire him!" But not disciplining your best player is a good way to lose the team for the third season in a row. The quotes after the game indicated it wasn't a discipline issue, but a "matchup" issue. Whatever happened, they didn't control the narrative very well.

On the other hand, Freeman said all the right things. In fact, he managed to sound like he was happy to be taken out of the starting lineup.


Whatever the reasoning, Syracuse played a much better game than they had been playing. They held ND below their season average, holding them to 3.6 shots fewer than their average this season. Syracuse shot a few less shots, ND keeps pace low. But we increased our TS% .99 above our season average.

Several players had terrific games in Freeman's absence. Starling went 7-7 in the first half, including 3-3 from 3pt range. He cooled down in the second half, but still ended the game with 21 points on 9-13 shooting and had 5 assists to 0 turnovers. Was Starling's hot start a result of Freeman being out?

Kingz was even better, 11-17 for 28 points, including 5-10 from 3pt range. Did Kingz shoot more because Freeman was on the bench? He actually started slow, only 2-5 in the first half, but 9-12 in the second, including 5 made layups.

George, who has gotten some criticism for his loose passing leading to TO lately, was credited with 10 assists to 0 TO as well. ND doesn't try to steal the ball, so you pretty much have to pass it right to them to get a turnover, but George was actually doing that a bunch lately. It was nice to have him find his targets.

Freeman, predictably, had his worst game since his return from injury. Hopefully whatever message Red was sending to the team was received?

Syracuse beat ND on the boards, by 6, and Freeman had 6 rebounds in his abbreviated minutes. With no Souare, White and Freeman both got to 4 fouls, and Kyle playing well was necessary. Kyle delivered good defense and enough rebounding to win that battle.

In the end, this game did look like a get right game for the team, against a decent opponent.

My thought is that we are definitely not a better team with Freeman missing, he is clearly our most talented player. But maybe he learned something about playing in the team concept that he had been missing? Freeman, in particular, seems to come and go in his defensive intensity. He blocked shots in his first six games of the year, including recording 3 against Georgia Tech. Since then, he blocked one shot the next 6 games, including four in a row in losses with no blocks. Perhaps Red wanted to remind him to play good defense?

We expected to have a very difficult time winning more than 6 games in this brutal 12 game stretch against top NET teams. right now we are 1-3 in that 12 game stretch. If we get very hot, we still could get back to even, or conceivably get above .500 in those 12 games. A victory tonight with an invigorated Freeman might be a strong sign we can accomplish it.

As is often said during baseball season "It's nothing a 10 game winning streak won't take care of..."

Keep doing these. Love 'em. One quibble: Notre Dame is not good. They aren't atrocious, but they are not good.

Burton, as you noted, did not play. He is, by far, ND's best player.

They have one guy with over a 20 PER, Burton, who did not play. They have three other guys total with over a 15 PER which is average. They are 114th in 3PT% defense and 196th in overall FG% defense.

We beat a bad team because our guys have innate talent, imo. Credit to them. If Donnie broke a team rule, then he should have been benched. That's life.

Starling's hot start was not an indication of anything. It was an anomaly. And when he has these games they have proven, over the course of starting 102 games in his career, to be an outlier. It is why his career TS% is 50.3% and his TS% this year is 50.1%. I would wager he does better against bad teams.

Donnie and Nate Kingz should still get the bulk of our shots. They are at 60.8% and 59.6% TS%. However, JJ is one FGA/game below Donnie, with a TS% 10 percentage points lower than Donnie.

JJ had a great first half. No doubt. Kudos to him. It's not normal and after 100+ games, it's much more likely than not that it was because it was a bad team and he is due to have a good game every once in a while.
 
Great stuff, Niastri. We all know that sports is less about your opponent being a binary “good” or “bad” and more about if a team has matchup advantages. Seemed clear that SU had advantages on Saturday.

Also helps when a couple guys shoot the lights out.
 
If teams can't or won't guard we have a chance - the number of teams who don't guard at all in the ACC is limited.
Also if Burton played the result is different in my opinion. Good win we should have got.
 
In an 18 team league, they appear to be pretty bad to me. Maybe I’m missing something though.
 

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In an 18 team league, they appear to be pretty bad to me. Maybe I’m missing something though.
Looking at overall results, not merely conference records, which the NET rankings, SRS and Pomeroy all do, ND is far from the worst ACC team. Don't let recency bias overwhelm the full statistical body work...

I similarly would argue that Syracuse is better than their last four games results.

Or you can choose to ignore statistics and other things that don't fit your preconceived notion. It doesn't really matter.

But when all the statistics say you are wrong, and you continue persisting in your belief...

The point about Notre Dame's top scorer not playing is very relevant, but saying that they are terrible as a team is incorrect.
 
Looking at overall results, not merely conference records, which the NET rankings, SRS and Pomeroy all do, ND is far from the worst ACC team. Don't let recency bias overwhelm the full statistical body work...

I similarly would argue that Syracuse is better than their last four games results.

Or you can choose to ignore statistics and other things that don't fit your preconceived notion. It doesn't really matter.

But when all the statistics say you are wrong, and you continue persisting in your belief...

The point about Notre Dame's top scorer not playing is very relevant, but saying that they are terrible as a team is incorrect.
I should have stated the Notre Dame team that we beat was bad. The Notre Dame team prior to December 5th, when Markus Burton was injured, was most likely much better.
 
I should have stated the Notre Dame team that we beat was bad. The Notre Dame team prior to December 5th, when Markus Burton was injured, was most likely much better.

Yeah, semantics are critical here. ;) Fact is, without Burton, ND is not a good team, just as MikeSU02 stated and typically mentions in his posts with other criteria, etc. supporting those arguments. Moreover, in the end, the most critical statistic is one's record, period. And, they are dead last in an 18 team league just as you stated.

No "preconceived notion" or "persistent belief" malarkey changes that fact. If it makes the author of those words feel better, so be it. It doesn't make you 'wrong' any more than his opinion that he is right, especially when dismissing the all important wins and losses.
 
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Haralson can ball. Having JJ (not) defend him was a bad decision
Having him toast Starling, without much help, but shutting down everybody else probably wasn't a bad idea. JJ 21 Haralson 27... But we win by 14. You can't really complain about that decision.

I probably would've doubled Haralson when he took JJ into the post, though. It looked a little too easy for him to score over the shorter, lighter Starling. I would've forced him to pass out of double teams. That usually is a skill that freshmen haven't learned yet and results in turnovers.
 
Yeah, semantics are critical here. Fact is, without Burton, ND is not a good team, just as MikeSU02 mentions and typically does with other criteria supporting those arguments. Moreover, in the end, the most critical statistic is one's record, period. And, they are dead last in an 18 team league just as you stated.

No "preconceived notion" or "persistent belief" malarkey changes that fact. If it makes the author of those words feel better, so be it. It doesn't make you 'wrong' any more than his opinion that he is right, especially when dismissing the all important wins and losses.
Bringing the advanced rankings that I was using into the conversation and comparing the rankings before, and after, Burton's injury is a much more compelling argument than mere record in conference play.

I stand corrected.
 
Bringing the advanced rankings that I was using into the conversation and comparing the rankings before, and after, Burton's injury is a much more compelling argument than mere record in conference play.

I stand corrected.

Arguing against myself, I'll say that ND is a team we *should* beat without Burton, but I still think they aren't a total wreck.

JJ's first half and Kingz' second half are still impressive even if they are an anomaly or a sign for better things to come.

Let's just hope any positives can roll into tonight's game where we'll have a higher mountain to climb.
 
Maybe the numbers are better than the team. ND has no good players aside from Haralson, who we didn’t guard correctly.
 
Isn’t it funny that SU’s defensive efficiency, especially in Vegas, was higher than it has been with Donnie in the line-up? Not sure if we just caught lightning in a bottle during that stretch or what, but I still can’t wrap my head around the cratering of our defensive intensity. That should have been the identity of this team, an identity we shouldn’t have lost. We’re going to go through offensive struggles, but we can control how we play defense. It’s like our offensive woes negatively impacted our D by getting in the players’ heads and completely destroying their confidence.
 
Isn’t it funny that SU’s defensive efficiency, especially in Vegas, was higher than it has been with Donnie in the line-up? Not sure if we just caught lightning in a bottle during that stretch or what, but I still can’t wrap my head around the cratering of our defensive intensity. That should have been the identity of this team, an identity we shouldn’t have lost. We’re going to go through offensive struggles, but we can control how we play defense. It’s like our offensive woes negatively impacted our D by getting in the players’ heads and completely destroying their confidence.
Something happened between December 2nd and December 11th. We had 8 games from the start of the season through the Tennessee game on 12/2, and we played with tremendous intensity in 6 of them. The exceptions were Monmouth (inexplicable) and Iowa State (explicable).

The we played St. Joe’s on 12/11 and things began to go to hell. Would love to know what happened during those 9 days off.
 
Maybe the numbers are better than the team. ND has no good players aside from Haralson, who we didn’t guard correctly.
Even on that great dunk on the break, Kyle had him blocked, He just missed the ball. It was a great competitive play, and even better on the replay.
 

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