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[QUOTE="OttoMets, post: 1533263, member: 716"]
True, not what it used to be.

Regarding guard play, I tend to favor the big, slow SU guards (Cipolla and Sims types). I am really bearish on the two guys we have starting, though. At best, Cooney has been quite inconsistent for three years and I hated his defense last night (it's not all negative, I liked his hustle). To me, Gbinije is playing out of position. We'll see what he can make of that. I understand Boeheim's decision: first, Richardson's a shooter and he'd like both guys on the court; second, Joseph was a sieve last year.

I think one could persuade me that this team will win between 15-25 games in the regular season. This is a very unusual roster playing under some strange circumstances; not since November 1996 have we had so many question marks (and even then we had more spots filled by guys who'd been consistent producers in the past).

Best case: we shoot very well - not lights out, but over 35%. Poorly enough on some nights to lose, well enough the rest of the time to score some nice upsets and generally keep the floor spaced for our wings to drive and Roberson to work on the block. Defense is OK (I just can't see it being better than OK, not with the inexperience and our holes) but OK is good enough when we can put up 85 on a given night.

Worst case: we can't shoot. Coleman's ineffective for whatever reason. Cooney and Gbinije are burdened with carrying the load and neither plays better than he did for the past two years. The freshmen show flashes but are complementary parts on a team with no go-to guys.

Nothing in between those two scenarios would surprise me.
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