Sagarin says Clemson -6 over Syracuse... | Syracusefan.com

Sagarin says Clemson -6 over Syracuse...

690West

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in the dome.

kevin-butler-mind-blown.gif
 
I could pay off my mortgage with that line.
Thats the crazy thing. Vegas opening lines are usually close to Sagarin. Although I can't imagine the actual line being anything less than double what he's saying.
 
wow, we're either getting a lot of credit for the qb change and last two games or Vegas is not sold on Clemson.

I hope we win, but that line is awfully low for the #3 team in the nation, don't you think?
 
wow, we're either getting a lot of credit for the qb change and last two games or Vegas is not sold on Clemson.

I hope we win, but that line is awfully low for the #3 team in the nation, don't you think?

The neutral line is -10.91 but he's currently giving home teams a 5.23 point advantage over the standard "3 point home advantage". So thats what brings it down to -6 in the dome.
 
The neutral line is -10.91 but he's currently giving home teams a 5.23 point advantage over the standard "3 point home advantage". So thats what brings it down to -6 in the dome.

I would have guessed a minimum of two touchdowns to a high of 16
 
IMO, There's no way the actual line will open anywhere near -6 because of the amount of money that would flow Clem right away. Just look at the way some of you are salivating at it. lol
 
I would have guessed a minimum of two touchdowns to a high of 16
I've gotta imagine the real line driven by actual wagers will push it to that number...easily
 
really, even after Clemson's miserable performance against NC State?
It was a road win in conference. I am also basing it more on how they will view our two losses as opposed to how they view our two wins.
 
i think i would have to bet against syracuse for the 1st time ever.
lol. right? It won't open at -6 but I like that the geek puts the spread there...
 
IMO, There's no way the actual line will open anywhere near -6 because of the amount of money that would flow Clem right away. Just look at the way some of you are salivating at it. lol

Clemson -28 @ home vs Wake Forest right now. I have to think the actual line will be around -14 @ Syracuse.
 
Clemson -28 @ home vs Wake Forest right now. I have to think the actual line will be around -14 @ Syracuse.
But Sagarin has Clemson -25 over Wake, so he's not far off.

Keep in mind, though, that margin of victory is a big thing with his predictor model, so our two 50+ point outbursts against 2 crappy teams may be skewing the spread...a tad.
 
But Sagarin has Clemson -25 over Wake, so he's not far off.

Keep in mind, though, that margin of victory is a big thing with his predictor model, so our two 50+ point outbursts against 2 crappy teams may be skewing the spread...a tad.

Will be interesting to see what number Vegas throws out to get money on both sides of the line. If/when Clemson beats Wake down thet'll be fresh on the mind of the public.
 
I think TH's performance the last 2 games really has the CFB world wondering just who exactly this SU team is. Have to say I hate ESPN for not even giving us a helmet sticker this past week or barely any mention at all. If nothing else our ST should have gotten one. AA and HD can eat Otto farts. AA didn't give us any damn credit last year either and ended up looking like an idiot when we took a share of the conference. Seriously hate them right now.

 
Do you think NCS defense is that good or did Clempson have an off game?

i didn't think they played well but maybe that's who they are. NC State is a below average team. They almost got beat by a D1AA the week before. Put up 4oo yards against Clemson and had 2 turnovers to 0. I don’t think the Clemson defense is anything to write home about.

They beat NCState by 12. I think 14 to 16 is a large spread playing at the Dome. Syracuse isn't great but is a solid physical team.

Boyd will give us huge problems though. We'll have them 3rd and long all night and he'll run for first downs when the pocket collapses. IMHO, we need to keep him in the pocket and make him beat us with his arm.
 
Gotta admit, I like the respect that shows. In other words, they think we can win!

I think Sagarin is considering Clemson's past record on long road trips up north. Wake is a bus ride away. They've struggled against BC at Chestnut Hill since 2006. Even against a terrible BC team last year, they only won 45-31. A full Dome is a bigger challenge.
 
I think Sagarin is considering Clemson's past record on long road trips up north. They've struggled against BC at Chestnut Hill since 2006. Even against a terrible BC team last year, they only won 45-31. A full Dome is a bigger challenge.

I really hope we get to 45k
 

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