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Message: [QUOTE="omniorange, post: 209128, member: 636"] You appear to be moving the goalposts: [I]"I'll do a bet even money that BE gets no more than 8. I'll pay you 5 to 1 odds if they get 10 and you pay me 5 to 1 odds if they get seven." [/I] As the earlier quote from you above shows, your stance has pretty much been 7 bids with an outside shot at 8, while those disagreeing with that have been saying a minimum of 8, 9 likely, with an outside shot at 10. I do agree with your point about a less than .500 conference record, but as of this moment in time, only UConn is assured of that and they have the computer numbers that have warranted those rare exceptions in the past. Now, of course, the way the Huskies are playing they could lose tomorrow and then lose their first game in the BET in which case sayonara. But that hasn't happened yet. The other two who could finish less than .500 are Seton Hall and WVU. If both get the job done, they stand an excellent shot of getting bids since the bubble is even worse this year than it was last year. Last year's final selections were supposedly Clemson, UAB, VCU, and Southern Cal. Southern Cal had 2 Top 25 wins, 3 Top 50 wins. I don't think there is a bubble team this year that has anything close to that. I think even some of those considered to be in now like Cincinnati have as good a record as USC had last year. VCU had 2 Top 25 wins and 1 Top 50 win. Only a handful of the final 8 have a record comparable to that. Most of the last 8 on the bubble have records more comparable to UAB and Clemson, records that will still probably get 3-4 of them "in" the tourney. Big 12, which had 5 last year, will get 6 this year. ACC, which had 4 last year, will likely get 5 but could still only get 4 if Miami tanks in the ACC tourney. The Pac, which had 4 last year, will get 2 in, maybe a third if Arizona or Oregon get hot in their tourney. The Big Ten which had 7 in last year will get 7 in again this year, assuming a sympathy vote for Northwestern carries them. The SEC will get in 5 again this year. So, as can be seen, the power conferences will get about the same number of combined bids this year as they received last year, even if the Big East were to get 10, which I, myself, don't see happening. Should be interesting to see what actually happens Selection Sunday. Cheers, Neil [/QUOTE]

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