Not responding to you specifically
jordoo...
Just wondering out loud why it always has to be so black or white for many here? It is likely easier to characterize posters as either Chicken Little fans or Unicorns and Butterflies. There is a lot of nuanced ground between those two extremes where most of the recruiting stories typically fall.
Several of our most connected posters reported that Lands' commitment caught the staff completely off guard. And, of course, he hasn't visited yet. There is no question that Lands' recruitment has been unusual by SU standards. To be absolutely sure about the outcome either way is the issue for me. Given the choice, I would much prefer to have his verbal commitment and hope for the best. It also seems reasonable to wonder how this story will play out without being a Chicken Little.