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Here’s some love from Ken Massey


He’s the guy who does the rankings aggregation
Interesting take on things.

Massey Ratings - CF

He has Pitt and Duke at 28 and 29. NC State is at 34, BC at 38, Miami at 43 and V Tech at 62. Army is 49th and Maryland is 54th.
 
Interesting.

I'd take those odds.
If you think those percentages are good check out Clemson. We are their toughest game and they still have a 91% chance to win.
 
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What doesn’t make a lot of sense is that he has us at 15th and a record of 11-1. If we go 11-1, with our only loss to Clemson, we’ll be ranked higher than 15th. We’ll be top 10 and could be top 6.

It's a power ranking to start the year. Has nothing to do with predicting ranking at the end of the year.
 
It's a power ranking to start the year. Has nothing to do with predicting ranking at the end of the year.

What is the 1 next to schedule? Is it saying we have the toughest schedule in the country?
 
Very interesting, higher chance of winning at FSU on the road than vs Pitt or BC at home
 
Was watching highlights last night and we gave up way too many big plays. There's talent there no doubt but all it takes is one bad play to ruin a drive.
we've been giving up big 3rd down plays for 15 years.
 
What is the 1 next to schedule? Is it saying we have the toughest schedule in the country?
I think he has the same rating for schedule for everyone before the season starts.
 
What doesn’t make a lot of sense is that he has us at 15th and a record of 11-1. If we go 11-1, with our only loss to Clemson, we’ll be ranked higher than 15th. We’ll be top 10 and could be top 6.

If we finished 11-1 with the only loss coming to Clemson in close fashion, and we dominate a couple games that I think are gonna be closer than last year (FSU on the road being one)... why wouldn't we be in the mix for a playoff berth? I think we'd probably be left out with Georgia getting the second SEC berth... but it would be a pretty fun debate.
 
What doesn’t make a lot of sense is that he has us at 15th and a record of 11-1. If we go 11-1, with our only loss to Clemson, we’ll be ranked higher than 15th. We’ll be top 10 and could be top 6.

I don't think he has us at 11-1. We are favorites in all but one of our games, but if you look at the odds to win each game, he has us at 8.5-3.5.
 
He's seriously underestimating our defense.


Is he? Even with the pass rush and the INTs, the D gave up 265 passing yards a game, and a boatload of chunk yardage plays overall.

I do think the D has a chance to be much better this season.
 
What doesn’t make a lot of sense is that he has us at 15th and a record of 11-1. If we go 11-1, with our only loss to Clemson, we’ll be ranked higher than 15th. We’ll be top 10 and could be top 6.

Five of our games that were projected to win are in the 50-70 percent range. FSU is 71 and Wake is 72. So if you take those percentages over the course of the season theres a good chance we'd drop 1-2 more games in addition to Clemson..

8.5-3.5 sounds about right.
 
He has points for and points against so I'd take that as a (changable) prediction. 11-1 (438-306). I'll take that, too. 7-0 in single digit games may be asking a lot. I think we can score more than 438 if the line holds up.
 
Five of our games that were projected to win are in the 50-70 percent range. FSU is 71 and Wake is 72. So if you take those percentages over the course of the season theres a good chance we'd drop 1-2 more games in addition to Clemson..

8.5-3.5 sounds about right.

He has us winning 11. Look at the scores. No percentage is ever going to be 100%.
 
He has us winning 11. Look at the scores. No percentage is ever going to be 100%.

They’re probabilities. He has us at around seventy percent to win FSU and Wake. So the probability of winning both is about .70^2
Tbh I’m probably overthinking this. It’s a power ranking so as we win our rank will improve.
 

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