LAorange44
Walk On
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- Oct 25, 2011
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If this is uninteresting, please feel free to delete.
Here is Bart Torvik’s preseason prediction for Syracuse based on player’s historical data: T-Page for Syracuse - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
Started the season #72 with a projected 17-13 record and 10-10 conference. He correctly predicted our wins for the most part. He incorrectly predicted we would beat Gtown and Louisville and Pitt at home.
Our players all seem to be in the ball park of their expected statistical contributions except for Chris Bell.
Where the computers missed the mark is on defense. Was it injuries? Players? Coaching? Who knows but our defense was expected to better than it has been this season.
Finally, while many hoped for a return to the tournament, our odds of making the tourney were 12% at the start of the season, and quickly fell to less than 1% as the season progressed. Many felt, myself included, Red would outperform the computer rankings like he did in 2023-2024. But ultimately, the computers predicted from the get go we were unlikely to make the tournament. Also interesting because there is a Twitter image floating around of Bart Torvik’s preseason ranking of talent and listing us at #20. Hard to make sense of our talent ranking and low tourney odds at the outset.
Take it all with a grain of salt but we ended up being much worse than the computers expected us to be at the start of the season.
Is it an indictment on the players? Coaching? Scheme? I don’t know. But we should have been better than we have been.
Here is Bart Torvik’s preseason prediction for Syracuse based on player’s historical data: T-Page for Syracuse - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
Started the season #72 with a projected 17-13 record and 10-10 conference. He correctly predicted our wins for the most part. He incorrectly predicted we would beat Gtown and Louisville and Pitt at home.
Our players all seem to be in the ball park of their expected statistical contributions except for Chris Bell.
Where the computers missed the mark is on defense. Was it injuries? Players? Coaching? Who knows but our defense was expected to better than it has been this season.
Finally, while many hoped for a return to the tournament, our odds of making the tourney were 12% at the start of the season, and quickly fell to less than 1% as the season progressed. Many felt, myself included, Red would outperform the computer rankings like he did in 2023-2024. But ultimately, the computers predicted from the get go we were unlikely to make the tournament. Also interesting because there is a Twitter image floating around of Bart Torvik’s preseason ranking of talent and listing us at #20. Hard to make sense of our talent ranking and low tourney odds at the outset.
Take it all with a grain of salt but we ended up being much worse than the computers expected us to be at the start of the season.
Is it an indictment on the players? Coaching? Scheme? I don’t know. But we should have been better than we have been.
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